Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c42ccd9051f7215fb9c275c94a9dca93c0eb8b9eccb3cc80dda7d2f028c3571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Natus Vincere, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Fnatic | 60c | 5,271$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,429$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.33 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…7deebacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 4,149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,849$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.83 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,528$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fnatic | 55c | 3,066$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.51 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,047$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.66 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Fnatic | 67c | 3,008$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.56 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Fnatic | 65c | 2,996$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa435…d34ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,970$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Fnatic | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 58c | 2,446$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.74 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,238$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.35 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…9160backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,026$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,991$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.26 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Fnatic | 64c | 1,930$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.14 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Fnatic | 79c | 1,923$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.92 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,901$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,739$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.62 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Fnatic | 45c | 1,630$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…5b0fbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,558$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,474$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Fnatic | 50c | 1,432$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.54 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,331$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,293$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.35 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,030$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.57 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…803cbacked Fnatic | 53c | 1,006$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Fnatic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Fnatic | 32c | 977.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 971.37$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.64 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 930$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.6 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 908.97$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.46 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Fnatic | 64c | 895.71$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 856.15$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.76 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…b1bebacked Fnatic | 30c | 758.2$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fnatic | 64c | 730$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…6023backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 716.91$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 702.62$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.73 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Fnatic | 66c | 700.95$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.44 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2875…9045backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 695.94$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Fnatic | 79c | 662.38$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 619.26$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 601.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 583.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 569.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Fnatic | 67c | 567.06$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.13 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 518.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 507.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…5ff1backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 497.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 484$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Fnatic | 75c | 483.68$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Fnatic | 65c | 481.98$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 476.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 441$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Fnatic | 68c | 420$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Fnatic | 71c | 404.54$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Fnatic | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Fnatic | 58c | 393$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Fnatic | 57c | 391.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 358.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 357.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Fnatic | 71c | 353.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Fnatic | 76c | 330.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 318.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 318$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic | 35c | 310$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…57bfbacked Fnatic | 62c | 303.15$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Fnatic | 53c | 285.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 281.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 260$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 249.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 246$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Fnatic | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 221.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 65c | 211.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 209.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Fnatic | 32c | 208.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Fnatic | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Fnatic | 62c | 194.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed Fnatic | 67c | 193.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Fnatic | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic | 48c | 175.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…5207backed Fnatic | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 170.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 170.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…dc41backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 169.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 168.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 167.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.