TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$724,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$885,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc473…58a0backed Yes48c117,113$55,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,131.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed No53c114,255$60,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,499.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes40c78,130$31,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,610.142642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes43c76,187$32,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,426.549159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c62,605$35,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,256.021,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c46,694$26,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,310.7671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c46,129$21,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,369.9714337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No57c45,800$26,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,106742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c36,956$19,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,552.8762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c20,088$9,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,568.6624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c18,263$8,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,466.951,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No54c15,007$8,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.164940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c14,603$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,777.1352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed No0c9,522$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.951323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6442…aa08backed No57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No52c8,378$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3260…c210backed No57c8,211$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No57c7,330$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.194447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c5,796$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.0687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes47c5,208$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.429747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes43c4,678$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.1623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes44c4,495$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.9419055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c3,710$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.7435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No53c3,008$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.212642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5606060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No22c2,998$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.623910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes48c2,900$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.239447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes55c2,773$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.932080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes50c2,726$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes47c2,631$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.4315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes47c2,553$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.191020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.662744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes43c2,118$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.213627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No51c2,008$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.983240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes48c1,747$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.923447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes65c1,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.18435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes42c1,437$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.6337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No51c1,377$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.261030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes80c1,361$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.723650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1b…c496backed Yes47c1,268$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…7cb7backed Yes72c1,251$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Yes43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c1,064$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes47c1,031$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.149152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No53c999.97$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes52c962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes47c948.77$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.856141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No54c941.01$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.973745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No51c783.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.821957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No53c751$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.031675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes44c750$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bb1…3272backed Yes49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e8…6001backed Yes43c697.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6692…c9b8backed Yes40c695.57$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes73c620.12$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes47c595.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.741369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes47c574$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.121250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No52c568.96$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.183259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No53c567$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.511323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes47c560$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No53c555$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.158444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes43c533.15$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.831612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes48c517$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.374257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes41c502.44$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.442458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes47c496$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8812147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c480.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.124346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes48c422.45$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.455060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes47c415.28$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.12560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bb…4eeabacked Yes76c411.55$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No52c389.55$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5727244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c385$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7814452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes47c372.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.511250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No50c344.92$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.463748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes80c329.16$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes47c324$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.724151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes47c323.4$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.44546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed No54c320.83$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.63740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No56c308.82$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.942245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No30c300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.