TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36bb…4eea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.24
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.7
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.12
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+107.9%+$311.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+374.9%+$342.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+204.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.5%+$113.97
Valorant: NOVO Esports vs DNSTY (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffsbacked NOVO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41.9%+$115.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+110.8%+$72.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56%+$338.96
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+271.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+271.5%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$9.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.8%+$96.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$382.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Team Essence · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$111.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.