Music · resolved market
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe62176c4eb6eb83ccff978b60f26f2c106398fa3c12f8f10c390069f1c0327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 1c | 77,200$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…d49bbacked No | 0c | 15,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 13,959$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,754.15 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…9228backed Yes | 3c | 12,853$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,482.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,368.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 17c | 3,617$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.84 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 32c | 3,451$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 6c | 3,438$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,411$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +643.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 4c | 3,373$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 9c | 3,224$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 42c | 3,159$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 3,058$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.33 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,748$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.63 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 52c | 2,585$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.51 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 40c | 2,478$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.34 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…643cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,354$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +612.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…94f5backed Yes | 5c | 2,169$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +957.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 3c | 2,095$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 3c | 2,059$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4237…cbfdbacked Yes | 32c | 2,036$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…c9d5backed Yes | 5c | 2,016$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 37c | 1,900$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…352ebacked No | 1c | 1,678$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,579$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.04 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 11c | 1,440$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,361$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.81 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 20c | 1,312$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 14c | 1,134$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.19 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Yes | 29c | 1,090$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 70c | 1,080$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 16c | 944.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…09b5backed Yes | 3c | 940.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes | 4c | 901.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +692.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Yes | 6c | 874.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd63f…0cd3backed Yes | 4c | 839.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…82e8backed Yes | 6c | 821.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 746.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.42 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 745.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.61 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Yes | 2c | 734.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +509.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 73c | 722.71$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.56 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 4c | 710.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.77 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked Yes | 3c | 697.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +1,062.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes | 18c | 662.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 3c | 649.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.28 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 18c | 635.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes | 3c | 625.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.46 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 4c | 621$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 4c | 615.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +418.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 7c | 606.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.56 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 604.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.18 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…38e9backed Yes | 7c | 602.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 23c | 600$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 599.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.77 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 15c | 578.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 18c | 559.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 4c | 559.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 5c | 545$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 523.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.9 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 25c | 520.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…4eeabacked Yes | 15c | 509.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 503.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.3 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac2…8a31backed Yes | 3c | 499$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,471.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…50debacked Yes | 3c | 464.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +415.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 426.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.63 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 14c | 384.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 28c | 359.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…cab2backed Yes | 6c | 349.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +431%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…4eb8backed Yes | 4c | 339.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +831.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 4c | 337.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.37 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…05f6backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…1c06backed No | 70c | 300$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…79c7backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 293.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.37 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 15c | 290$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…261dbacked Yes | 12c | 273.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +330.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 269.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 5c | 269$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…75c3backed Yes | 15c | 250.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +407.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…b5aabacked Yes | 13c | 219.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +642.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 19c | 187.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Yes | 17c | 185.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +505.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…0777backed No | 72c | 181$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 26c | 175.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +95%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Yes | 16c | 163.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…6149backed Yes | 16c | 152.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f2fbbacked Yes | 33c | 150.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…5135backed Yes | 17c | 146.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…4425backed Yes | 11c | 136.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +354.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…481ebacked Yes | 15c | 132.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…81ddbacked Yes | 16c | 124.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +521.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…d4cebacked Yes | 15c | 119.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed69…f3eabacked Yes | 17c | 101.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed Yes | 18c | 100.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…a901backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…b36abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…33f8backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 63c | 87.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 30c | 83.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.