TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb368…9734

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$89.14
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.26
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$69.03
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.27
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.17
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.82
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.72
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.33
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-6.2wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$59.95
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+173%+$86.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$61.88
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$177.43
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$394.27
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
Wimbledon Final – Will Swiatek win by 4+ games? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.85
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$270.27
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-30.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber play "What Do You Mean?" first at Coachella?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+457.6%+$82.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+585.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+585.5%+$87.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.