Middle East · resolved market
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3700dffddb0882c7e03f6bd601db0c8dfd13d4ea536bb308ca20c064dc355e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 13c | 30,667$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.56 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 78c | 14,874$11,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.21 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 13c | 4,413$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 55c | 4,288$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.8 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 25c | 3,394$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.02 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…bbfabacked No | 49c | 3,298$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 71c | 3,036$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.92 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 41c | 2,989$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.74 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,608$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 45c | 2,355$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.91 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 64c | 2,285$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.62 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 5c | 2,119$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…994fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,988$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 60c | 1,969$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.33 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 46c | 1,677$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 68c | 1,586$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.03 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 12c | 1,568$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 1c | 1,480$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 43c | 1,392$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +291.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed Yes | 52c | 1,359$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 44c | 1,309$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 18c | 1,275$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 1,272$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.3 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,233$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 6c | 1,180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 76c | 946.25$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 48c | 941.96$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.04 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 38c | 865.28$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.92 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…f1b6backed Yes | 61c | 849.96$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 40c | 745.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 63c | 730.93$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.05 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 65c | 700$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 23c | 653.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed Yes | 40c | 645.94$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 63c | 580.69$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 60c | 569.28$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.57 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 26c | 554.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 39c | 521.79$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…a403backed Yes | 40c | 502.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 60c | 494.66$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 80c | 460$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…95ebbacked No | 65c | 432.3$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 70c | 426.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 41c | 421$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 66c | 385.31$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 61c | 319.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 62c | 304.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 44c | 303.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 16c | 299.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 68c | 295.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 61c | 295.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…6119backed No | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 55c | 279.01$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 271$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 8c | 268.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…e969backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…12dfbacked No | 13c | 262.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…2a52backed Yes | 40c | 251.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…94ebbacked Yes | 37c | 243.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked No | 25c | 243$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…fb58backed Yes | 60c | 242.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…f796backed Yes | 43c | 230.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 10c | 220.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…fd47backed No | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed Yes | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed No | 27c | 214.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…8e0bbacked Yes | 41c | 207.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 207.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 44c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 59c | 194.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 19c | 191.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…5ab4backed No | 49c | 178.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…e9e1backed No | 70c | 173$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…5604backed No | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…fa68backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 45c | 159.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…ac66backed Yes | 63c | 159.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…0d48backed No | 11c | 157.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 61c | 150.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed No | 15c | 144.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…1bd6backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 138.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed Yes | 37c | 136.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -6.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…ec07backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…d5fabacked Yes | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…003dbacked Yes | 78c | 128.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 40c | 126.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 26c | 123.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 63c | 122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?this page
- Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.