Middle East · resolved market
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe226982316ce20de2e72dfd693a2caa0829ae20c612746534b24a4d700d366c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 18c | 15,524$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.45 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 60c | 11,156$6,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.57 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…b4e3backed No | 70c | 7,085$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 11c | 5,671$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.38 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 54c | 4,023$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 11c | 3,697$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.51 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 1c | 3,110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 28c | 2,950$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.88 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 28c | 2,882$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.77 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 68c | 2,820$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.47 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,614$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 58c | 2,312$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 22c | 2,049$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.88 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 45c | 2,029$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 8c | 1,874$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked No | 2c | 1,844$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 61c | 1,656$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…05e2backed No | 30c | 1,487$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 74c | 1,471$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.2 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 11c | 1,400$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 57c | 1,360$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.94 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…36e8backed No | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed No | 2c | 1,209$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed No | 65c | 1,173$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 8c | 1,157$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 13c | 1,060$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,035$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 50c | 976.88$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.46 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 76c | 949.48$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.71 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…8afebacked No | 9c | 891.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 49c | 884.26$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.29 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 49c | 848.22$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 19c | 838.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.44 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1739…ee24backed No | 61c | 830$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…43debacked Yes | 39c | 830$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…2471backed Yes | 39c | 830$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…e2edbacked No | 61c | 830$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 76c | 795.11$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 35c | 755.67$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45b…21febacked Yes | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 30c | 729$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.08 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…994fbacked Yes | 54c | 718.51$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed No | 2c | 670.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9d…f5adbacked Yes | 56c | 650$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 643$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 604.34$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.08 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 18c | 560.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…003dbacked Yes | 39c | 514.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 9c | 488.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 481.23$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 24c | 423.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…1f08backed No | 2c | 415$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 17c | 370$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +291.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe514…2c62backed No | 78c | 365.11$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 13c | 360$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 52c | 348.26$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 43c | 322.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 53c | 299.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 14c | 287.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 29c | 253.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 21c | 251.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 14c | 250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 62c | 235.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…4b4ebacked Yes | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…2324backed No | 27c | 224.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 23c | 216.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 210.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…7c83backed No | 17c | 207.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 22c | 202$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked No | 30c | 201.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…b473backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 39c | 193.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 63c | 172.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…6119backed No | 75c | 167.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 64c | 166.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 79c | 166.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 16c | 155.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 153.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 16c | 152.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 32c | 139.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 60c | 134.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 132.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…31b9backed Yes | 42c | 116$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 73c | 114.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 37c | 114$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…c9acbacked Yes | 35c | 112.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?this page
- Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.