Middle East · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8019c94679bc5e67e49b50a85f26f07a7046772e00d0ec838491ea39c50745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 51c | 5,724$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 52c | 5,079$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.71 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 2,583$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 2c | 1,792$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 3c | 1,659$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 33c | 1,588$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.84 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 34c | 1,506$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.61 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 53c | 1,370$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.3 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 61c | 1,306$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.69 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 29c | 1,194$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +291.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 39c | 958.53$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.76 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 37c | 934.01$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 922.25$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.38 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 50c | 913.3$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.59 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 22c | 870$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 28c | 707$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.8 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 38c | 657.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 62c | 649.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…6119backed No | 39c | 611.91$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 73c | 588.32$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 38c | 541.01$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.81 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…f1b6backed Yes | 77c | 522.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yes | 33c | 500$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 79c | 475$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 451.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 26c | 422$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 65c | 350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.83 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…4899backed Yes | 78c | 347.15$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 79c | 340$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…f796backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 15c | 294.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 52c | 276.69$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 72c | 276.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 33c | 269.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.45per pick | 55cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 23c | 261.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 259.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…03c7backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 42c | 220$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed No | 28c | 190.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 22c | 169.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…fa68backed Yes | 62c | 160.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 37c | 159.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 67c | 155.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 61c | 155$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…a149backed Yes | 66c | 150.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…54a8backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 17c | 128$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 115.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 34c | 113.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 112.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c12…2b11backed Yes | 44c | 79.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 30c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 31c | 72.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…16b4backed Yes | 80c | 71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…dd2ebacked No | 69c | 64.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…3ce8backed No | 23c | 61.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 71c | 52.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 50c | 51.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 60c | 51.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…0bb0backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…275bbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…4638backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed No | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…31b9backed Yes | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568a…89b9backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 72c | 42.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…871fbacked No | 37c | 40.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…525abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…003dbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…c8bbbacked No | 35c | 34.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…df3cbacked Yes | 61c | 31.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…8b52backed Yes | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…dc28backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?this page
- Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.