Middle East · resolved market
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0828fb562474c6c4647fb3471db0e85ce5c1f65c0765817ebd456b85aa306ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 9c | 42,686$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 46c | 8,904$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.18 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 21c | 5,265$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.62 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.41 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 22c | 4,523$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 78c | 3,970$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.1 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 18c | 3,743$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 54c | 3,332$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.33 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 57c | 2,783$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.3 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 35c | 2,593$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.63 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 15c | 2,500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.62 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 22c | 2,449$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,327$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 48c | 2,084$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.27 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 2,016$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 68c | 1,887$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.59 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 15c | 1,711$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.37 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…19f1backed No | 53c | 1,511$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…95ebbacked No | 69c | 1,499$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,465$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.85 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 50c | 1,440$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.71 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 15c | 1,398$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.04 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 31c | 1,398$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 59c | 1,378$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.54 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…c11dbacked No | 25c | 1,347$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…0beebacked No | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 27c | 1,138$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb7…7398backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…a649backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…ed79backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…810abacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 64c | 959.96$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.87 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…0c27backed Yes | 55c | 938$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…632cbacked No | 45c | 938$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…d891backed No | 45c | 938$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…6656backed Yes | 55c | 938$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…2a9bbacked No | 40c | 930$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…0240backed Yes | 60c | 930$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…c93abacked No | 40c | 930$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c7…3afbbacked Yes | 60c | 930$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 1c | 909.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…3421backed Yes | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…977abacked Yes | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…a716backed No | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…f9bfbacked No | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 17c | 841.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.81 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 38c | 827.8$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 78c | 821.65$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 10c | 803.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 78c | 772.92$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 15c | 746.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.53 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 42c | 707.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…34d2backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 16c | 664.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.46 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…56f0backed Yes | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 11c | 529.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…d18dbacked Yes | 60c | 525.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 32c | 520$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 63c | 515.03$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.52 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 70c | 501.99$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.39 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…6654backed Yes | 21c | 483.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…17fdbacked No | 27c | 481.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…9bdbbacked No | 46c | 438.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 69c | 403.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 12c | 384.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.47 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 13c | 380.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.22 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 376.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 25c | 370.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 22c | 362.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…27bcbacked Yes | 12c | 360$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…cb76backed No | 48c | 358$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 49c | 328.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked No | 30c | 321.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…bfb3backed Yes | 44c | 318.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…d070backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 296.68$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 68c | 292.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 24c | 270.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 264.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked No | 40c | 260.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed No | 32c | 255$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 25c | 253.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9002…67f7backed No | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 60c | 246.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…a149backed Yes | 44c | 225.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 224.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 56c | 217.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 23c | 215$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +202%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 47c | 209.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…86b5backed Yes | 30c | 208.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +291.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 26c | 190.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…d13cbacked No | 54c | 185.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…d5fabacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…02f4backed No | 12c | 184.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…adc5backed Yes | 37c | 179.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?this page
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes won
- Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.