Music · resolved market
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a3e96a12a5d7f46aabec104a70b0f5315ff72fd63cdeeb6371af7caed53130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb768…2295backed Yes | 20c | 14,788$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…74bfbacked Yes | 19c | 13,210$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 5,407$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.04 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…c28abacked Yes | 17c | 2,537$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 16c | 1,841$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 32c | 1,796$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.76 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,135$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes | 19c | 1,104$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,016$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…756bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,012$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 938.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 80c | 869$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 18c | 849.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 18c | 806$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 16c | 746.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 80c | 709$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 20c | 698$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 17c | 579$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…d3b3backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 40c | 475.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 17c | 466$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…7975backed Yes | 13c | 449.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed Yes | 17c | 421$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…72f6backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 80c | 371.74$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed Yes | 17c | 343$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…4fa8backed Yes | 6c | 321.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…95adbacked Yes | 20c | 319$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…fbe0backed Yes | 18c | 310$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…663bbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 9c | 288.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…ada1backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes | 18c | 275.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 264.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 9c | 264.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 13c | 254.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 20c | 235$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…508cbacked Yes | 23c | 214.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 210.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…31d2backed Yes | 24c | 206$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 17c | 204$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…3568backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…73e6backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed Yes | 17c | 195$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…74e6backed Yes | 6c | 181.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…a77abacked Yes | 6c | 177.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 17c | 176.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 20c | 171$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…4c9bbacked Yes | 20c | 152.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 14c | 142.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9080…dfa4backed Yes | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 13c | 132$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…e1e8backed Yes | 16c | 119.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa879…5e9fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 14c | 114.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 80c | 113.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…36bebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…2233backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…dda3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…b939backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…00ddbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…09b5backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 18c | 89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bd…7ebabacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…082cbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 16c | 78.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9c…56a2backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…d598backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 18c | 56.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…ad02backed Yes | 19c | 51.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…ca9cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed Yes | 24c | 44.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 39.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0165backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…8316backed No | 79c | 21.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DAISIES (Justin Bieber) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Timeless (The Weeknd feat. Playboi Carti) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.