Music · resolved market
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262cfdb7103a1ab09f37c46c401258b7db31247f70439b6b3dd770ec1ce7617f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 25c | 4,771$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…2e8ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,734$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 14c | 2,257$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,951$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.01 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 29c | 1,711$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 13c | 1,191$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 23c | 998.34$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes | 12c | 980.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 12c | 902$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 10c | 881.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…95adbacked Yes | 13c | 813.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked Yes | 15c | 785.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 13c | 779$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 15c | 671.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 12c | 659$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 6c | 649.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…a49bbacked Yes | 15c | 645.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 12c | 621$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 12c | 582$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 12c | 581$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 547.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 13c | 497$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 16c | 399.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…e94bbacked Yes | 14c | 358.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…10cdbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 27c | 337.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 13c | 299.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 13c | 288$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 12c | 283$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…edacbacked Yes | 10c | 270.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 12c | 246$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 14c | 240$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 230.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…30dabacked Yes | 14c | 221.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 10c | 214.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 7c | 212.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 12c | 210$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 13c | 201$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…1d99backed Yes | 8c | 177.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 9c | 169$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 11c | 151.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 150.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 12c | 148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 141.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 139$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 135.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 16c | 124.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 13c | 109.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 17c | 109.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 15c | 103.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…5709backed Yes | 69c | 102.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5d73backed Yes | 13c | 102.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…3616backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…23f7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…b36abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…f6dcbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 99.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…4cb4backed Yes | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…93bdbacked Yes | 29c | 68.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…d816backed Yes | 19c | 64.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…8967backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…421bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed Yes | 69c | 44.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 39c | 38.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DAISIES (Justin Bieber) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Timeless (The Weeknd feat. Playboi Carti) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.