Music · resolved market
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159d25871befc23b455537bf6b9de2c6236cf6bfe46da0b9577f28db42ce4b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf88…9ee7backed Yes | 16c | 3,276$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…b62cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 15c | 1,555$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 9c | 1,015$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes | 14c | 981$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 13c | 955$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 13c | 954$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 14c | 899.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 16c | 857$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 13c | 820$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Yes | 13c | 787$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes | 18c | 777.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…05f6backed Yes | 16c | 689.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4a…1568backed Yes | 16c | 623.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 14c | 605.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…edacbacked Yes | 13c | 599.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…95adbacked Yes | 15c | 590$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…f176backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…09b5backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed Yes | 13c | 542$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 18c | 516$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked Yes | 16c | 428$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 18c | 416$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…4e09backed Yes | 15c | 400.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 13c | 336$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 13c | 334$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95f…f988backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 17c | 330.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e546backed Yes | 15c | 330$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 13c | 326$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed Yes | 13c | 316$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 17c | 305.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 271.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…0ae4backed Yes | 17c | 270.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 14c | 266$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…2e8ebacked Yes | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 14c | 259$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…a03dbacked Yes | 14c | 253.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed Yes | 13c | 251$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…6149backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…79a1backed Yes | 17c | 240.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 238$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Yes | 13c | 220.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 193$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 18c | 191$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…9d6fbacked Yes | 10c | 190.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 14c | 185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 13c | 181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 15c | 180.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…4ceebacked Yes | 17c | 179$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…590dbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 13c | 174$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 13c | 158.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 17c | 153$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…7f79backed Yes | 17c | 143.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 142$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 10c | 142$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes | 13c | 141.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 130.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…b92cbacked Yes | 17c | 119.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaec…3bbabacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 115.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a4…c959backed Yes | 26c | 114.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677b…8f4bbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5c51backed Yes | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…082cbacked No | 78c | 88.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…9e1dbacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 76.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…c93abacked Yes | 18c | 69.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…481ebacked Yes | 19c | 63.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…6733backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d091backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 16c | 61.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Yes | 19c | 56.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…2ebabacked Yes | 19c | 56.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 76c | 50.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 73c | 33.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DAISIES (Justin Bieber) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Timeless (The Weeknd feat. Playboi Carti) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.