Music · resolved market
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2feeead1f8bd91e30424de10ab27d4e48562db8846ec390914cffe4d4600c20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 54c | 7,693$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 61c | 4,705$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.66 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 3c | 4,601$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed No | 46c | 3,746$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 43c | 3,227$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.54 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,443$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 1,823$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.07 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 44c | 1,542$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 57c | 1,516$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 38c | 1,436$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.13 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 42c | 1,330$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 56c | 1,323$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 48c | 1,251$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.08 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 34c | 1,168$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 58c | 1,138$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 40c | 1,136$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 43c | 1,135$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,119$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 42c | 1,108$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 40c | 1,098$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.08 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 41c | 1,070$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.29 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…0a2bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 985.21$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.63 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed No | 56c | 985$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…be97backed Yes | 59c | 868.89$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 59c | 865$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 39c | 856.84$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 54c | 850$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.34 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…11b5backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked Yes | 44c | 830$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 44c | 828.15$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 41c | 825$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 61c | 819.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…0599backed No | 68c | 794.53$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 60c | 784$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 58c | 781$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 54c | 772$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 44c | 760$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes | 40c | 751$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…c69abacked Yes | 48c | 729.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 45c | 725$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 58c | 724$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 40c | 723.39$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed No | 56c | 702$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 29c | 679.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 33c | 653.65$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef52…b4eabacked Yes | 60c | 646.19$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 44c | 645$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 58c | 643$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 56c | 632$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 54c | 625.62$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 42c | 622.28$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 73c | 618.72$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 64c | 606.02$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 47c | 605.02$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 57c | 599$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed No | 58c | 583$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 63c | 567.92$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 54c | 560.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 42c | 556$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…6af7backed Yes | 54c | 555.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed No | 55c | 554$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…d758backed No | 45c | 521$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 27c | 515.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 44c | 508$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 54c | 500.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed No | 60c | 493$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed Yes | 40c | 488$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…502ebacked Yes | 62c | 482.73$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 57c | 481$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 42c | 464$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 45c | 464$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 55c | 459$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed No | 55c | 457$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed No | 57c | 452$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked Yes | 42c | 452$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 48c | 446.63$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 43c | 440$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 46c | 437$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 55c | 430$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 43c | 415$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 45c | 409$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 61c | 406.25$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…c52abacked Yes | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed No | 42c | 399.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 45c | 398$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked Yes | 46c | 395$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 59c | 391$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…4fa8backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 44c | 388$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 386.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 58c | 385$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 44c | 379$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 44c | 369$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 56c | 369$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed No | 57c | 351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DAISIES (Justin Bieber) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Timeless (The Weeknd feat. Playboi Carti) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.