TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2604…13cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$37.6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$309.7
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$309.56
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.25
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$25.98
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$138.7
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.68
Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.26
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.08
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+159.2%+$88.44
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.56
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.56
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$195.52
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$218.4
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.04
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.4%+$49.29
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$167.4
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.94
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$31.85
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.1
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.89
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$202.53
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$166.16
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$324.36
Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$85.44
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$612.41
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$216.06
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.02
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.3
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+113%+$394.76
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$168.48
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$545.28
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.07
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,295.58
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$61.56
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078.29
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.84
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.78
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$95.23
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.91
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77%+$303.2
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$47
Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$30.03
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.44
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+700%+$490
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.96
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$228.33
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$40.04
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$238
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$159.28
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70.66
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$58.24
Will Ciucu win by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$26.19
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$16.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.12
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.09
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.74
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$358.69
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$40.68
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$221.54
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150%+$238.2
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$25.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+143.9%+$41.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.76
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.98
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$135.04
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$154.1
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$318.92
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$81.12
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
Will Trey Trainor be the Republican nominee for TX-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.55
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$232.52
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+73.3%+$82.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64%+$220.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$55.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.