Token Launches · resolved market
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63cc670c85cacba75e51c87b638ae095e848f9840916b4dee8eabd26f9712c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 8c | 21,293$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.31 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,385$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 4,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…b9dbbacked No | 3c | 4,408$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 5c | 3,600$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed No | 8c | 3,292$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 24c | 1,199$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…be86backed Yes | 76c | 1,100$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 20c | 1,055$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 24c | 1,010$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…1319backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…0184backed No | 11c | 920.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 24c | 896$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 76c | 880$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 24c | 876$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 76c | 829$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 76c | 816$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 77c | 763$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 735.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 729.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 13c | 708.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 9c | 663.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 76c | 656$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 24c | 653$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 25c | 653$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 77c | 634$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 25c | 632.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 75c | 614$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 19c | 609$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 23c | 607$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 564.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…66cfbacked No | 18c | 546.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 5c | 535$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Yes | 80c | 493.54$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 75c | 493$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked No | 24c | 460$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 76c | 430$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 75c | 421$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 5c | 401.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 76c | 392$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 6c | 387.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 76c | 385$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed Yes | 75c | 380$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 25c | 378$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 75c | 378$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed No | 25c | 376$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 76c | 351$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 25c | 346$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 76c | 346$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked No | 24c | 346$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 23c | 333$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 24c | 329$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 76c | 329$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 76c | 329$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed No | 23c | 327.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 25c | 310$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 303.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 24c | 295$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 75c | 268$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed No | 23c | 259$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 25c | 247$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…f712backed Yes | 72c | 227.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +385.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 24c | 226$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 25c | 214$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d7dbbacked No | 11c | 208$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 23c | 205$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…03e3backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…89babacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed No | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 13c | 193.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 77c | 177$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 23c | 171$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 12c | 163.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 144.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 76c | 143$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +181%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…a6b0backed No | 23c | 137$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Yes | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed No | 18c | 84.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 16c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…a5d9backed Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 21c | 69.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…10c5backed No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fe…4917backed No | 22c | 54.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?this page
- Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.