Token Launches · resolved market
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d30a16a2fe910ed02dc8870ab499efe1c03d3be67343f6e547a1199a4d40ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 44c | 9,052$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…9d2cbacked No | 69c | 8,843$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,068.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 61c | 6,853$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.01 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 61c | 6,843$4,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.68 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 57c | 6,773$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.44 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed Yes | 45c | 5,496$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 16c | 5,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.78 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…a9a8backed No | 59c | 5,086$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 19c | 4,181$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.71 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Yes | 48c | 4,075$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.66 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,971$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.04 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 60c | 3,703$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.16 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 44c | 3,684$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…fe44backed No | 17c | 3,610$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked Yes | 63c | 3,465$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…80e6backed Yes | 62c | 3,197$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 12c | 2,913$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Yes | 61c | 2,913$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 2,838$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.79 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 70c | 2,648$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.39 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked No | 65c | 2,373$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…51a4backed No | 40c | 2,281$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…e847backed No | 5c | 2,171$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 55c | 2,026$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.64 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…5c76backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.78 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked No | 58c | 1,786$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3998backed No | 33c | 1,784$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…0b65backed Yes | 30c | 1,741$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 79c | 1,652$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed No | 23c | 1,642$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,633$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.82 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…8627backed Yes | 77c | 1,608$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…0ccabacked No | 37c | 1,606$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed No | 66c | 1,510$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 33c | 1,430$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…b42cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,300$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 38c | 1,191$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.54 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 80c | 1,089$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 39c | 1,086$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.91 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 65c | 1,030$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…dc18backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…be50backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c7aebacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…2903backed No | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…0db3backed No | 44c | 974.41$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf5…9385backed No | 10c | 973.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 27c | 951.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…b738backed Yes | 45c | 920.31$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.75 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked No | 54c | 907$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…373ebacked No | 47c | 898.81$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…e094backed No | 67c | 857.28$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…63f0backed Yes | 59c | 839.23$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…8828backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 39c | 783.14$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.46 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked No | 22c | 774.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…0a3cbacked Yes | 48c | 730.59$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…a0b9backed Yes | 43c | 725.35$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…1d25backed No | 59c | 700$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed Yes | 74c | 675$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…e8abbacked Yes | 47c | 670.29$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 669.74$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…c1a9backed No | 51c | 645.9$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…56d4backed Yes | 48c | 623.46$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 601.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed Yes | 48c | 587.92$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…42e2backed Yes | 35c | 583.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 560.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed Yes | 20c | 556.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.24 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 550$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.5 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Yes | 47c | 545.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 19c | 507$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…bbe8backed Yes | 50c | 500.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes | 34c | 500$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…4382backed No | 80c | 479$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed Yes | 19c | 452$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 37c | 449.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.09 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes | 49c | 445.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…0432backed No | 59c | 431$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…23f2backed Yes | 78c | 427.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 43c | 426.81$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.05 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 48c | 426.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.16 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…86e4backed Yes | 45c | 419.06$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…ac2bbacked Yes | 51c | 416.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…ff0dbacked No | 16c | 412.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…372ebacked No | 17c | 412.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d44…7ba3backed No | 50c | 402.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…d360backed No | 17c | 386.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 31c | 358.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 45c | 348.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?this page
- Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.