Token Launches · resolved market
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1cd7ce32ca6ad64057e8dc3b282342cb7fafdb515454eaec3d1e17b92fe48a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 19c | 9,971$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.66 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 15c | 9,460$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.42 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed No | 14c | 4,998$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.55 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked No | 34c | 4,747$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 61c | 3,833$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.57 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 72c | 3,655$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.58 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 73c | 3,332$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,780$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…7f2bbacked No | 31c | 2,589$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,833$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.33 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,829$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 1,797$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…56d4backed Yes | 70c | 1,750$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,630$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…00afbacked Yes | 76c | 1,588$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 73c | 1,558$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…86e4backed Yes | 46c | 1,460$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.79 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 21c | 1,420$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 26c | 1,255$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.17 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…c1a9backed No | 37c | 1,107$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 67c | 1,105$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…51a4backed No | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 29c | 984.79$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…46f6backed No | 37c | 858.8$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked No | 36c | 808.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 68c | 799.99$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…95ffbacked No | 29c | 783.74$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…b04bbacked No | 34c | 743.13$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 9c | 736.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 723.63$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…dc18backed No | 37c | 717.79$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked Yes | 71c | 699.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…0b65backed Yes | 30c | 664.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 11c | 612.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked No | 18c | 600$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 12c | 575$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…0e31backed No | 24c | 570.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 27c | 554.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Yes | 33c | 537.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.61 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…0437backed Yes | 67c | 525.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 522$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…4382backed No | 55c | 478.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked No | 53c | 471.74$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 19c | 442$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 63c | 402.2$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…c13bbacked Yes | 80c | 386.45$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked Yes | 58c | 347.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 36c | 335.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 73c | 335.55$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 31c | 327.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked No | 35c | 326.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 67c | 324.05$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…aa97backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7be5backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84da…0a03backed Yes | 66c | 292.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 73c | 279.85$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…84e5backed Yes | 69c | 269.8$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…42e2backed Yes | 34c | 232.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 21c | 225.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…2ef7backed No | 12c | 223$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 68c | 221.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…36d8backed No | 20c | 217.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…8227backed No | 32c | 209.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 72c | 206.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 18c | 206.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…1e41backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 73c | 200$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1634backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45b…a237backed No | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 14c | 191.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 190.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 68c | 190$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef7…0b4dbacked Yes | 28c | 183.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 51c | 180.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 25c | 169.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 169.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…69e2backed No | 24c | 167.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 70c | 166.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 158.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked No | 34c | 157.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…c007backed Yes | 67c | 152.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…dc76backed Yes | 65c | 151.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…ae34backed Yes | 23c | 148.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…b738backed No | 34c | 139.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…b0d6backed No | 31c | 136.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked No | 22c | 133.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 132.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…ee4bbacked No | 29c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +135%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…3ea4backed Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?this page
- Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.