Token Launches · resolved market
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec16001bbf3e9e8cafe81f40b6a6f0c1c95bb6fdc2c4d23335f8f6dc69a8cd9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 19c | 17,604$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.8 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 55c | 7,756$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.72 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 74c | 5,903$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…0a3cbacked Yes | 60c | 5,304$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…8150backed Yes | 27c | 3,896$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed No | 72c | 3,358$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,313$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 18c | 2,111$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.86 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…90babacked Yes | 61c | 2,048$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 22c | 1,957$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.03 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,795$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,784$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked Yes | 22c | 1,733$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…80e6backed Yes | 12c | 1,720$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…6edabacked Yes | 27c | 1,691$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.79 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…51a4backed No | 72c | 1,440$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 15c | 1,393$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.77 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked No | 63c | 1,388$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…beb8backed Yes | 27c | 1,347$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,333$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes | 31c | 1,309$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3998backed Yes | 29c | 1,244$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 1,222$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.63 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 31c | 1,195$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.77 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,110$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 1,096$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,096$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 13c | 1,085$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed Yes | 48c | 1,084$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 27c | 1,022$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…89babacked No | 49c | 945.36$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.37 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 67c | 937$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…63f0backed Yes | 34c | 888.85$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…e8abbacked Yes | 34c | 885.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed Yes | 6c | 870.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 28c | 869.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 14c | 867$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 23c | 846.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b9…ad8fbacked No | 76c | 841.7$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 13c | 809$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed Yes | 14c | 806$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 15c | 803$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 45c | 802.33$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 15c | 780$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes | 14c | 778$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…33e5backed No | 76c | 754.55$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…fbe0backed Yes | 13c | 731$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked Yes | 14c | 713$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…0b65backed Yes | 21c | 704.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf5…9385backed No | 50c | 690.82$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 29c | 680.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 71c | 678.36$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.94 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 14c | 639$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 66c | 612.21$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…1e41backed Yes | 8c | 600.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed Yes | 14c | 592$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 13c | 585$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 552.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 65c | 548.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 14c | 537$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 65c | 526.56$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed Yes | 13c | 524$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed Yes | 29c | 514.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked Yes | 14c | 504$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…dc18backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 14c | 491$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 488.53$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 72c | 476.77$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed Yes | 16c | 468$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 56c | 459.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes | 14c | 451$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…ac56backed Yes | 69c | 435.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 14c | 414$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 48c | 407.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.15 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…56d4backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…9981backed Yes | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 12c | 388$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed Yes | 15c | 378$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 16c | 371$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…3dc2backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 65c | 366.02$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…7e7fbacked Yes | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…3969backed No | 49c | 345.62$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 14c | 345$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 30c | 340.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 66c | 337.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 22c | 333$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 329.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked No | 66c | 325$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 16c | 314$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…5b10backed No | 65c | 308.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…d9e0backed Yes | 36c | 305.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Yes | 33c | 302.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?this page
- Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.