Token Launches · resolved market
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b6a0ffb085c262c6f31847a264ce3b118844fac27e5c19937050c05a2fbf40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 5c | 28,836$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 4c | 25,002$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.33 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed No | 7c | 11,336$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.89 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 10c | 8,477$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.46 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…9d2cbacked No | 12c | 8,142$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 32c | 6,946$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.72 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 6,765$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 4,228$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked No | 10c | 3,609$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 9c | 2,949$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.93 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…7f2bbacked No | 14c | 2,907$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 1,823$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 1,817$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 9c | 1,713$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,647$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 6c | 1,525$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…c1a9backed No | 16c | 1,448$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…51a4backed No | 7c | 1,410$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,186$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 1,175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 8c | 1,125$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…0e31backed No | 8c | 1,014$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked No | 7c | 955.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 6c | 900$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 5c | 800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 76c | 786.31$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 53c | 649.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…1b52backed Yes | 74c | 647.54$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…2ef7backed No | 6c | 521.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes | 77c | 519.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked No | 10c | 514.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 7c | 439.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 399.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 10c | 396.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…36d8backed No | 9c | 354.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 12c | 333.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 73c | 320$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 9c | 305.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 69c | 295.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…75cfbacked Yes | 74c | 247.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…2787backed Yes | 53c | 237.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…86e4backed Yes | 50c | 216.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked No | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…419cbacked No | 6c | 199.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 12c | 198.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked No | 11c | 195$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked No | 12c | 189.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 9c | 188.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Yes | 66c | 187.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 75c | 186.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 12c | 174.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 7c | 169.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 72c | 156.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…a157backed Yes | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1634backed No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…b0d6backed No | 18c | 148.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…69e2backed No | 15c | 147$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…40fbbacked Yes | 35c | 142.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…8100backed No | 15c | 136.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…46f6backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 11c | 123.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 9c | 116.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 62c | 113.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked No | 15c | 113.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…fc3dbacked No | 41c | 107.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed No | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…e15abacked Yes | 50c | 96.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +488.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…3ea4backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…577abacked Yes | 76c | 56.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84da…0a03backed Yes | 56c | 55.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 67c | 51.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 64c | 51.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed Yes | 51c | 50.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6999backed Yes | 71c | 48.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +187.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…3bb7backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fe…4917backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…7a9dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 51c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…9b58backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…0681backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…df34backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae7…ac2dbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…260abacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?this page
- Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?Yes won
- Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.