TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda64…9bc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$265.2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.87
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$100.24
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$103.5
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$118.19
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$69.44
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$124.64
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$61.87
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+270.4%+$77.38
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.89
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$112.84
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$315.9
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$203.35
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$126.36
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$172.53
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.79
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$73.92
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+287.6%+$248.57
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$254.4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.72
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.83
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.96
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.12
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.75
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.84
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.16
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$374.3
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$159.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.1
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.5
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$538.56
Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.97
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.02
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$82.07
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.32
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$166.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$86.87
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$533.43
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.25
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$87.12
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.14
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$175.78
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$131.32
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$147.84
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$80.46
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$310.75
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$481.68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$231.84
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$308.76
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.82
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.94
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.39
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$104.06
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$263.38
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$163.8
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$250.11
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$430.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+77.1%+$437.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$188.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$76.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$77.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$129.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$139.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$161
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$84.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.