NBA · resolved market
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b151adeb89150894c3b130f110f89dcc195e3af3bfe8cf2af832786d528ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 4,913$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 2,785$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Yes | 29c | 2,200$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.06 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…9aa2backed Yes | 1c | 1,709$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e4…b107backed Yes | 1c | 1,640$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…5ebbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,584$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed Yes | 1c | 1,327$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 75c | 1,303$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.79 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,047$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 70c | 985.7$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.71 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 2c | 982.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 5c | 911.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 11c | 891$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 732.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 10c | 720$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 11c | 672$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 552.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 11c | 545$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes | 11c | 540$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 458.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 12c | 398$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 8c | 386$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 6c | 375$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 76c | 374$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 4c | 371.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 9c | 367$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 11c | 354$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 11c | 337$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 10c | 332$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 330.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 11c | 309$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 6c | 284$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed Yes | 10c | 242$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 11c | 218$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…65d8backed Yes | 49c | 214.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 76c | 206$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 6c | 203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 6c | 187$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 11c | 180$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 7c | 168$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 11c | 162$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 24c | 159$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 24c | 154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…6dadbacked Yes | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 22c | 83.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?this page
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will James Harden lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Josh Giddey lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.