TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x636a…09aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: IPO, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$391.8
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$161.57
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.22
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$50.6
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$154.8
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$318.44
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$124.12
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106.4
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$157.76
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$804.87
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$572.16
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$161.07
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.76
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$200.86
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$254.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.19
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.54
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.2
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.92
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$451.96
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+420.8%+$300.58
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.47
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$126.36
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$8.94
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.84
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$77.49
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$71.37
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$154.83
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.16
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.04
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$136.62
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.16
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$144.3
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120.6
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.22
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.16
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108.81
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+600.4%+$1,297.84
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$173.04
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$35.26
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$61.38
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.22
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+1,049.4%+$106.82
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.72
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$231.36
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$121.8
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.64
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$27.6
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$668.16
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$306
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$86.8
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.23
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.56
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,061.63
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.1%+$5.8
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.7%+$131.82
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.83
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.53
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.75
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$86.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+32.2%+$18.49
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$280.8
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$377.72
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+614.3%+$319.06
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$219.78
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.25
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.62
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+41%+$110.58
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.77
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$204.16
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$35.76
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.68
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$33.25
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$573.85
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$43.6
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.03
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.25
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$237.12
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$209.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.75
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$133.9
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$304.92
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$687.96
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$77.38
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$145.6
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$258.8
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$38.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+198.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+166.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick13cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.35
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.8
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$128.44
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+809.1%+$353.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+455.6%+$72.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$375.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+156.4%+$116.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$133.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$399.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.