Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829c1cf16943d85120a4aeb8b40e5984f20c8ff8c58c8c283a8f7c8e609de6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 56c | 6,928$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.03 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 5,492$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.46 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 47c | 3,754$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.36 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked Yes | 29c | 3,621$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 18c | 2,854$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.54 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 27c | 2,379$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.3 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…cb39backed No | 72c | 2,342$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 47c | 1,916$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.74 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 61c | 1,542$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.72 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed No | 65c | 1,505$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.58 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,422$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 9c | 1,355$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 10c | 1,197$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 1,173$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.48 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,105$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed No | 75c | 1,063$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 55c | 1,048$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.6 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 43c | 905$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.55 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 55c | 888$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…58b9backed No | 38c | 880.21$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 53c | 856$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 6c | 820$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 27c | 792$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…b801backed No | 66c | 790.34$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…da36backed No | 77c | 754.4$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 46c | 716$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed No | 47c | 705$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…8edebacked No | 39c | 690$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 53c | 658$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…675ebacked No | 73c | 619.04$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…3452backed Yes | 21c | 599.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 54c | 581$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…e797backed No | 76c | 553.95$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 73c | 548$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 20c | 543$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 45c | 525$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 47c | 511$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…747abacked Yes | 18c | 505.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed No | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…cf45backed Yes | 32c | 499.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed Yes | 26c | 499.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 53c | 488$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 47c | 471$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 47c | 470$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 45c | 458$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 47c | 455$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 25c | 454$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 54c | 446$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 47c | 428$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0991…e29abacked Yes | 32c | 427.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 39c | 420$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed Yes | 55c | 404$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 48c | 403$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806f…418ebacked Yes | 61c | 400$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 53c | 382$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 37c | 373.78$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 41c | 366$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 27c | 359$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed No | 73c | 359$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 52c | 347$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 47c | 334$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 46c | 332$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…65d8backed Yes | 46c | 330.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed Yes | 25c | 325$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed14…bebcbacked No | 36c | 308.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f6…a4f9backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 47c | 289$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 54c | 278$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…d44bbacked Yes | 62c | 260.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 53c | 258$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked Yes | 24c | 254.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked Yes | 47c | 241.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 8c | 239.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…5d62backed Yes | 61c | 239.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…63b9backed No | 42c | 238.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 62c | 230.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 47c | 225$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…dae4backed Yes | 33c | 219.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 9c | 219.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…6fa8backed No | 39c | 207.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 39c | 202.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…51ffbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…aab1backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 196.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8572…63ccbacked Yes | 63c | 195.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…b50ebacked No | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…c3d5backed No | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d62…fddabacked No | 53c | 168.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 53c | 166$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 62c | 160.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 60c | 160.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?this page
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?No won
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?No won
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?No won
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No won
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?No won
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.