TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ffe…4071

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$796.52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.83
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.82
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.18
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$179.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$467.83
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$209.69
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.64
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.48
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$85.56
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.1
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.9
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.58
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.46
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.08
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.76
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$15.06
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.79
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$21.6
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.06
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.19
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.98
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,658Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.5%+$721.5
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$103.3
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,627.78
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.2%+$123.98
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.89
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$162
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+39.4%+$192.49
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+36.8%+$129.11
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.5%+$363.04
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.8%+$318.37
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$442.52
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.1%+$43.94
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.6
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$64.5
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.4%+$42
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,649.97
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,830.33
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,223.09
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.8%+$745.91
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,332.72
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10,745.24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.5%+$115.89
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.26
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+171.6%+$171.6
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+71.8%+$157.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81%+$76.18
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.5%+$40.46
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.33
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$179.52
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$195.41
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$31.57
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.58
Will the Social Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.72
Will Sanseitō loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Team Mirai loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will the Conservative Party of Japan loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will the Japan Innovation Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.49
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$19.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.