World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05beef793157deb1cc34e2d3159539f461b73c7eeaa3b5348617c10eed5509d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,194,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,849,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,194,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,032 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd16…1a5abacked No | 0c | 2,008,630$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…8f9bbacked No | 0c | 1,590,568$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…94ddbacked No | 0c | 1,518,287$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…cb4abacked No | 0c | 1,499,800$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 1,237,843$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.79 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…1959backed No | 0c | 618,360$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…43f3backed No | 0c | 505,098$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…2598backed No | 0c | 486,277$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…df89backed No | 1c | 408,585$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked No | 0c | 400,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…57fdbacked No | 0c | 397,295$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 1c | 364,194$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…87dabacked No | 0c | 293,260$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…e49fbacked No | 2c | 248,675$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 0c | 243,336$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d02…92b0backed No | 1c | 208,717$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed No | 1c | 205,279$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…decdbacked No | 0c | 199,670$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed No | 0c | 198,500$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked No | 1c | 187,519$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4459…504abacked No | 0c | 173,730$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…dfdbbacked No | 1c | 165,185$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…ec89backed No | 1c | 164,647$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ce0abacked No | 0c | 160,073$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked No | 1c | 156,192$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…d36abacked No | 1c | 156,170$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…1aa6backed No | 0c | 155,684$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked No | 0c | 154,570$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2bd2backed No | 0c | 153,559$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 0c | 150,509$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…1dd2backed No | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…7593backed No | 0c | 143,119$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…39a9backed No | 1c | 138,793$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc6…e106backed No | 1c | 137,158$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…ac47backed No | 0c | 128,350$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…a2d3backed No | 1c | 124,567$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed No | 0c | 120,038$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed No | 4c | 119,701$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…9255backed No | 0c | 118,976$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…aa72backed No | 1c | 118,065$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…0eedbacked No | 2c | 115,946$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…6090backed No | 0c | 110,375$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…0a8abacked No | 0c | 104,333$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7c…ce17backed No | 1c | 104,257$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…14bebacked No | 2c | 101,384$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed No | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…1bd8backed No | 1c | 92,513$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…4db9backed No | 0c | 91,016$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…4cc6backed No | 0c | 90,708$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…8d55backed No | 1c | 90,393$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 88,684$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.36 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed No | 1c | 87,316$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed No | 1c | 85,152$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…2fb2backed No | 11c | 84,567$9,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,405.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…7cdabacked No | 1c | 83,950$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked No | 1c | 83,817$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…9a26backed No | 0c | 83,333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed No | 1c | 82,281$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…f254backed No | 0c | 79,816$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…2303backed No | 1c | 76,891$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…72e4backed No | 2c | 76,515$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…c8cdbacked No | 0c | 76,402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed No | 0c | 72,448$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 0c | 70,215$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…6f4abacked No | 0c | 69,330$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…3c5ebacked No | 1c | 68,512$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…a3cbbacked No | 2c | 66,584$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…6bfdbacked No | 0c | 65,070$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…bbd4backed No | 0c | 64,105$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…e33abacked No | 1c | 62,302$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…29ddbacked No | 0c | 61,650$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed No | 2c | 60,284$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…fbbabacked No | 1c | 60,062$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a7…5892backed No | 0c | 60,010$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…31e1backed No | 3c | 59,144$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed No | 1c | 58,929$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf539…1a22backed No | 0c | 58,779$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed No | 0c | 58,233$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…a94fbacked No | 0c | 57,468$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2e…fd7dbacked No | 0c | 56,953$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked No | 1c | 55,641$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed No | 3c | 54,805$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…09f7backed No | 0c | 54,268$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…8b21backed No | 0c | 53,437$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…7471backed No | 0c | 52,863$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…2653backed No | 0c | 52,855$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d5…81f6backed No | 1c | 52,251$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…8cd6backed No | 0c | 51,864$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…1221backed No | 1c | 51,442$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked No | 7c | 50,806$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed No | 0c | 50,654$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…e8e4backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…905dbacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…a09dbacked No | 0c | 49,730$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…7728backed No | 0c | 47,093$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed No | 4c | 45,877$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…24b5backed No | 0c | 45,126$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…1f1fbacked No | 5c | 42,869$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…fe63backed No | 0c | 40,147$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed No | 1c | 40,000$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.