Middle East · resolved market
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64f4ed3338ccdc3995e1d43270b482a3ad9b10162eba8d06457339167c1e9fbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9a3…5f96backed Yes | 20c | 8,778$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…e6fdbacked Yes | 17c | 7,193$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 77c | 4,904$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.48 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 55c | 4,856$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.04 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 14c | 4,731$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.4 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 27c | 3,685$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d01…d558backed Yes | 17c | 3,566$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…68fbbacked Yes | 65c | 3,055$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Yes | 22c | 2,926$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.04 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,874$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 12c | 2,815$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.68 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…cddbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,676$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…c113backed Yes | 75c | 2,437$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.37 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,067$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…3f87backed Yes | 61c | 2,028$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…0593backed Yes | 18c | 1,960$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…de12backed Yes | 20c | 1,818$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…db83backed Yes | 1c | 1,746$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…250abacked No | 65c | 1,700$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.98 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…c50cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,618$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 57c | 1,494$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.54 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…41f6backed Yes | 11c | 1,477$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 5c | 1,370$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 11c | 1,305$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 68c | 1,300$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.24 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 7c | 1,230$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 66c | 1,221$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.05 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379b…b6a2backed Yes | 18c | 1,194$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 67c | 1,165$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.57 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 34c | 1,137$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.5 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…fbc7backed Yes | 15c | 1,125$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…0236backed Yes | 14c | 1,059$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Yes | 11c | 1,058$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 9c | 978$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…7a7dbacked Yes | 15c | 951.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…7359backed Yes | 11c | 949$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 919.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked Yes | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…6a81backed Yes | 26c | 777.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +347.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…819cbacked Yes | 13c | 745.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…720cbacked No | 75c | 745.1$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 5c | 724.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…e440backed No | 79c | 721.97$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 11c | 708$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…b1efbacked Yes | 29c | 696.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 13cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…b525backed Yes | 38c | 695.83$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4aeebacked Yes | 9c | 672.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 16c | 655.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.84 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…7260backed Yes | 16c | 640.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 24c | 624.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 33c | 618.62$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.48 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 49c | 610.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 21c | 599.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.98 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…48f3backed Yes | 17c | 596.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…e0e6backed Yes | 22c | 556.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…4336backed Yes | 16c | 550$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 11c | 547$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 29c | 538.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 12c | 529$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 527.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 514.61$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…fcd4backed Yes | 25c | 512.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…0975backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…3823backed Yes | 15c | 498.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 6c | 485.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 19c | 485$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…6dc9backed No | 76c | 483.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed Yes | 11c | 472.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked Yes | 18c | 451$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…e462backed Yes | 53c | 448.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked Yes | 4c | 448.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…fab0backed Yes | 23c | 440.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…9e16backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc649…2425backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3f…5999backed Yes | 24c | 427.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 12c | 425$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…be4abacked Yes | 36c | 415.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 11c | 411.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 79c | 410.97$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4515…5c36backed Yes | 37c | 409.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 9c | 403.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed No | 80c | 403$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41bd…1196backed Yes | 25c | 402.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 40c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…cdf3backed Yes | 41c | 400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 76c | 398.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 64c | 390$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…1162backed Yes | 25c | 388.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…6512backed Yes | 16c | 388$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…c8ddbacked Yes | 31c | 350.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…0bc0backed Yes | 11c | 350.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…54a8backed Yes | 10c | 347.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 20cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…ebb8backed Yes | 10c | 340.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +1,005%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked Yes | 11c | 329.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 327.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.