World Politics · resolved market
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x621152e2e555e3f884440aa81acbf4fbcd518fbff63f44fab4f01c985b4f096a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 72c | 4,722$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.43 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Yes | 31c | 4,455$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…a88dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,114$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 8c | 3,587$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e648backed Yes | 16c | 3,036$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 64c | 2,811$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.09 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,336$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed No | 75c | 2,031$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 34c | 1,946$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.21 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…190fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,920$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,907$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.1 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 1,832$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.36 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 53c | 1,800$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.14 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 24c | 1,750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.54 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 42c | 1,725$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed No | 55c | 1,125$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 4c | 1,122$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 67c | 1,057$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,057$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 996.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…e065backed Yes | 5c | 906.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 21c | 738.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 58c | 697.86$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…de47backed Yes | 29c | 665.76$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f8…d9f1backed Yes | 53c | 664.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…dcf4backed Yes | 65c | 657.45$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 2c | 640.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 630$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 36c | 608.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 25c | 570$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…3805backed Yes | 31c | 551.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…e639backed Yes | 3c | 524.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 61c | 499.74$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 75c | 494$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…2862backed Yes | 6c | 467.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 2c | 441$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed Yes | 19c | 438$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 3c | 437.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked Yes | 23c | 373.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked No | 73c | 372.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 76c | 351$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…f715backed Yes | 28c | 337.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 32c | 337.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 332.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…e891backed Yes | 31c | 325.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…3f0cbacked Yes | 6c | 322$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a7…60fcbacked Yes | 32c | 313.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked No | 78c | 310.62$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…9ac8backed Yes | 28c | 308.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 252.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…0bbcbacked Yes | 21c | 237.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 76c | 236.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 30c | 219.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 29c | 216.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea24…51d0backed Yes | 35c | 214.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 212.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 23c | 207.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…6e26backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…c5ebbacked Yes | 5c | 197.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 11c | 191$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 70c | 170.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c45…c9abbacked Yes | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…5edcbacked Yes | 37c | 165$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…bc43backed Yes | 37c | 164$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed Yes | 33c | 163.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6f…e831backed Yes | 37c | 159$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed No | 73c | 151.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…eb3bbacked Yes | 12c | 147.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed No | 65c | 144.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a9…6125backed No | 67c | 144.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 72c | 143.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 30c | 143.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Yes | 11c | 142.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed No | 71c | 141.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 65c | 141.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 73c | 137.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc772…4daabacked Yes | 30c | 134.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 76c | 131.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7388…2887backed No | 74c | 128.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 30c | 113.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57c…0652backed Yes | 27c | 112.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 20c | 110.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…a09cbacked Yes | 59c | 108.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…9a66backed Yes | 23c | 108.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 13c | 101.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…069abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +13.2wins | +0.49per pick | 29cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9fe4backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…f4a8backed No | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…3f09backed No | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?this page
- UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.