TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xce31…19c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
797
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT16520.6%34 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+461.2%+$389.2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.89
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+262.1%+$205.36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+190.9%+$81.53
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+390.6%+$87.07
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+305.7%+$66.83
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT8312%10 W · 73 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+441.6%+$353.35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.91
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+570.7%+$449.35
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.47
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.05
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.55
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+130.4%+$34.34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,197.2%+$486.75
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+70.8%+$9.28
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.13
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+673.4%+$199.74
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.21
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT7017.1%12 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.67
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.63
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$24.22
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.7
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.23
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.48
Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.67
Will Conservative People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.94
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+431.9%+$2,143.67
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.36
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$57.83
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win fewer than 10 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+218.9%+$101.83
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 19 and 21 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,284.49
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.42
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6123%14 W · 47 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$17.43
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.27
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.25
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+263.8%+$108.09
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.4%+$18.77
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+60%+$13.41
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+65.1%+$32.58
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.6%+$8.82
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$217.16
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,986.04
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$159.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$211.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$325.58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$437.68
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$951.93
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$119.36
Will Solana reach $270 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.57
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.27
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$208.51
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$136.19
Will Solana reach $190 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$260.41
Will Solana reach $200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.82
Will Solana reach $220 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.72
Will Solana reach $210 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.71
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$140.65
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$171.71
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.13
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$435.12
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$52.89
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$78.84
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+96.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+297%+$206.84
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+278.6%+$393.95
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+265.4%+$285.81
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.51
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.83
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.9
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.33
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+1,669.5%+$1,112.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+68.3%+$10.16
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+64.6%+$26.83
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+161.3%+$107.8
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$142.31
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$34.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+70.6%+$8.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+285.2%+$42.07
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+157.9%+$33.54
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.32
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.02
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.24
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,743.8%+$371.72
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick13cpaid+190.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+555.1%+$165.38
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.6%+$14.91
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.22
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.29
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.51
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+275.7%+$2,539.36
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$103.63
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+470.2%+$5,955.61
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$671.75
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60.17
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39.79
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32.11
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.95
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+2,981.4%+$783.51
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+1,227.6%+$194.83
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+1,240.4%+$886.89
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.9%+$14.66
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.76
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.73
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53.99
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+441.4%+$137.07
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.65
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150.5%+$43.85
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.75
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+115.7%+$38.1
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53.27
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150.4%+$115.23
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+252.4%+$144.47
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+65.1%+$15.74
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+106.1%+$11.54
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+59.5%+$7.52
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+71%+$10.58
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+90.6%+$9.93
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,140 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Will Google reach $335 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$223.31
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.95
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+146%+$14.82
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+216.9%+$22.59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.51
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$54.75
Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+144.6%+$70.51
Will Google reach $315 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+297%+$55.26
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $42-$44 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.17
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.78
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+1,165.6%+$131.65
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.49
Will Meta (META) close at $590-$600 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+350.6%+$35.66
All 23 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$11.48
Will Mike White be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.54
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+182.3%+$37.14
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+109.8%+$19.09
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+50.1%+$8.56
Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+43.7%+$34.96
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.66
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.43
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.91
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+213.6%+$30.73
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.57
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+248.1%+$92.21
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55.15
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.72
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.78
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22.97
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+174%+$90.87
Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.22
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 71–80 times during March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Duke advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Saint Louis advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Murray State Racers (W)backed Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Lindenwood Lions (W)backed Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+197.9%+$26.87
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.19
George Mason Patriots vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+209.3%+$21.17
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Murray State Racersbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+219.8%+$27.74
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+141.9%+$28.93
Yale Bulldogs vs. Howard Bisonbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.4%+$12.8
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Northwestern State Demons vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+358.2%+$82.4
Jackson State Tigers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell Bisonbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Sachia Vickery vs Cadence Bracebacked Vickery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Droguet (+1.5)backed Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+82%+$12.86
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Snigur (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+113.2%+$12.65
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptistebacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$25.49
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.71
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$332.17
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$186.19
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.48
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.96
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$38.82
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.73
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.58
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+275.1%+$153.12
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.77
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.53
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.97
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.67
NATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.05
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.68
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.91
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32.04
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.54
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$481.39
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.21
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51.72
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$27.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.15
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$9.47
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$21.61
CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)backed CA Bucaramanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+34.5%+$4.68
Spread: América de Cali (-2.5)backed América de Cali · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
CA Boston River vs. Racing Club de Montevideo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+57.3%+$6.21
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100.8%+$25.71
Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$17.23
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$34.18
Will Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.21
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.9%+$26.45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.89
Will Smash Into Pieces win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.07
Will Sanna Nielsen win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.58
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74.24
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.12
Will Noëp win Eesti Laul 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+145.2%+$60.76
Will Clicherik & Mäx win Eesti Laul 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will Moldova participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+911.6%+$240.86
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$44.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-80.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150.3%+$23.71
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31.06
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.82
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.53
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.75
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.87
Will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.94
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$163.12
Will Wix.Com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.27
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Francis Mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+406.1%+$634.55
Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.56
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$44.54
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Will Jamaica record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+73%+$11.62
Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+180.5%+$51.53
Will Slovenia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Latvia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.46
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.19
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.22
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+416.5%+$49.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.29
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.78
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.94
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$201.02
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.38
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.78
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+545.2%+$60.7
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.28
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.36
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,339.05
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+99.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+178.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-63.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick10cpaid+1,604.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)backed Columbus Crew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.43
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed RC Celta de Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$164.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+428.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+428.7%+$2,172.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,368.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.