NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd233a396047cc6133f63418578270d87411e0614e451f220404d74e6d32e081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 238,824$120,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,912.04 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 155,822$76,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,469.26 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 53,573$25,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,901.51 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 27,081$13,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,540.69 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.91 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 19,680$10,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.19 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 18,660$9,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,516.72 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 12,987$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,590.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 47c | 11,520$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,414.4 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under | 48c | 10,753$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.57 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 8,456$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 50c | 7,475$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 49c | 6,190$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.67 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 50c | 6,007$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.59 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 50c | 5,948$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 5,435$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 47c | 5,277$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 4,873$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.01 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 4,169$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.93 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.42 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.97 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,992$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under | 53c | 3,672$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.21 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 3,206$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.88 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 50c | 3,084$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.13 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 3,043$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 48c | 3,001$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.48 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 2,971$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.77 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 2,967$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.76 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 50c | 2,814$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f2…c5d4backed Under | 49c | 2,633$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…2d24backed Over | 51c | 2,458$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…cb55backed Over | 47c | 2,391$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 53c | 2,235$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.61 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 47c | 2,100$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Under | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.56 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under | 54c | 1,997$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.33 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 1,862$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.79 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 1,843$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 54c | 1,839$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.12 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Under | 50c | 1,750$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 50c | 1,515$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 1,454$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 1,433$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Under | 50c | 1,423$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.27 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.32 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.04 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,150$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 48c | 1,084$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.09 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 1,075$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.2 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 963.04$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.15 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 828.45$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.37 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 719.63$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 54c | 632.34$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.46 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 590.38$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.82 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 570.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Under | 47c | 500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Over | 50c | 484.64$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Over | 47c | 438.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Under | 54c | 420$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 417$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 47c | 416$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 66c | 393.13$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 391.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 47c | 319.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 51c | 312.12$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 300.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 287.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.