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NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$561,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$570,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c238,824$120,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,912.041,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over49c155,822$76,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,469.2626253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over48c53,573$25,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,901.5187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under52c38,462$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over50c27,081$13,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,540.6926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9121250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c19,680$10,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,446.1960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c18,660$9,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,516.721,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c12,987$6,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,590.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Under47c11,520$5,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,414.411653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under48c10,753$5,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,142.577240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under51c10,000$5,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,05015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c8,511$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.6449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c8,456$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under50c7,475$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7505154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under49c6,190$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.676860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under50c6,007$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.5915147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.9912144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under50c5,948$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c5,435$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over47c5,277$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.69051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55015349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c4,873$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.0170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c4,169$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.9354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.4210045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.971,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,992$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under53c3,672$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.218555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c3,206$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.8842648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c3,084$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.1336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c3,043$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under48c3,001$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.4825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c2,971$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.771,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under49c2,967$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.7676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under50c2,814$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f2…c5d4backed Under49c2,633$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfb…2d24backed Over51c2,458$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820c…cb55backed Over47c2,391$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.461471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over53c2,235$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.6118536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under47c2,100$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9921,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Under46c2,050$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9438348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over53c2,000$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.562572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under54c1,997$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.336352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,862$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c1,843$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over54c1,839$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.1212844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Under50c1,750$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.58657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Under50c1,515$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c1,454$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c1,433$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under50c1,423$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.2715450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.0477348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,150$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c1,084$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0919445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c1,075$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.251,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under47c1,068$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.813041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47031455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under51c963.04$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005369.8%37 W · 16 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c828.45$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.371,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c719.63$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.263,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under54c632.34$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30614152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c590.38$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c570.9$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.161,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under47c500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23466645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Over50c484.64$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3214450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Over47c438.3$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.38647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Under54c420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.88252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over47c417$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over47c416$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0933837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19224442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c400$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over66c393.13$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c391.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.612,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over47c319.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over51c312.12$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1218055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c300.48$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15026553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14123648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under51c298.04$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15213937.4%52 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c287.42$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.