NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e41c5b53f3788c4af35f58ca52ff1638e0158e7fe987600e6dcc2482bf4a3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb304…765ebacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 35,282$15,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,150.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…03cbbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 17,656$10,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,063.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…4c98backed Grizzlies | 57c | 17,626$10,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,046.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 9,999$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.65 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 5,361$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 3,500$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.32 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 3,150$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,974$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 1,731$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 619.93$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…2a96backed Grizzlies | 57c | 353.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 314$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Grizzlies | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 231.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Grizzlies | 41c | 194.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 57c | 193.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 193.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 186.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 161.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Grizzlies | 54c | 148.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Grizzlies | 61c | 143.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 139.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies | 73c | 136.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 126.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 122.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Grizzlies | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Grizzlies | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Grizzlies | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 44.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Grizzlies | 46c | 41.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 38.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 37.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…b665backed Grizzlies | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Grizzlies | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7348…0a82backed Grizzlies | 64c | 26.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Grizzlies | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.