NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82678031e85c348dde16f04c22c59084fe5e8242c32e419073012ce1cb826bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 20,173$9,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,277.8 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 16,404$8,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.65 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 13,161$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 10,255$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 7,208$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.79 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 45c | 4,312$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 3,359$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 3,221$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.14 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 2,305$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,907$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.39 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,753$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.6 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,746$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,371$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,318$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,090$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,036$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 4c | 980$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 919.09$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 906.48$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.98 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 819.28$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 50c | 726.94$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed Grizzlies | 45c | 676.2$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 575.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.25 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 548.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 44c | 520$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Grizzlies | 50c | 500$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Grizzlies | 47c | 417$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 416$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 412.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 391.21$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 48c | 375.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 328.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Grizzlies | 45c | 326.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 291$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Grizzlies | 51c | 280.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 279.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 276.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 215.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…19dcbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 208.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…2964backed Grizzlies | 42c | 208.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 207.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfa…df75backed Grizzlies | 53c | 207.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Grizzlies | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Grizzlies | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 194.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 193.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 184$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 115.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 114.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 113$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 107.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies | 51c | 105.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Grizzlies | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 103.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Grizzlies | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…2a96backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 85.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 85.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trail Blazers | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 74.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…e955backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 69.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 69.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 65.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…0f4dbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 57.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 53.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Grizzlies | 45c | 50.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Grizzlies | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 47.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Grizzlies | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Grizzlies | 44c | 41.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.