NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf37d074f3f669a02c6840d7302f06692910b959ae34516b10ad6052ebf51bc6

Rebuilt 43 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,086 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12f1…8e70backed Trail Blazers	59c	20,367$12,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,263.47	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-12.4wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies	42c	8,428$3,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,547.71	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies	41c	6,340$2,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.31	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Grizzlies	41c	3,825$1,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,568.25	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies	44c	3,297$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,446.76	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	48c	3,244$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,556.99	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies	41c	2,903$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.3	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers	59c	2,628$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.48	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Trail Blazers	53c	2,571$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.38	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies	44c	2,212$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.87	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers	54c	1,758$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.87	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers	58c	1,720$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.93	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Trail Blazers	53c	1,600$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.99	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies	40c	1,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies	43c	1,464$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.46	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies	41c	1,368$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.13	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies	40c	1,230$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.01	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies	43c	1,215$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies	42c	1,040$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.21	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Trail Blazers	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers	55c	735.1$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.79	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Grizzlies	41c	606.51$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.67	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Grizzlies	42c	604.5$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies	41c	593.24$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.53	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Trail Blazers	59c	447.7$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.7	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies	44c	397.73$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers	54c	325.29$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.63	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Trail Blazers	54c	320$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.25	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies	41c	292.68$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.9	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies	42c	270.39$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.44	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Grizzlies	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Trail Blazers	53c	213.21$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.21	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies	54c	209.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.61	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Trail Blazers	34c	204.19$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.2	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Trail Blazers	59c	203.39$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.39	182	56.6%103 W · 79 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Trail Blazers	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies	42c	193.95$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.46	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Trail Blazers	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies	42c	188$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.62	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…5b41backed Grizzlies	49c	186.82$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Trail Blazers	55c	169.56$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.3	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Trail Blazers	59c	168.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.42	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Grizzlies	43c	162.75$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.2wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Grizzlies	64c	153.37$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Grizzlies	44c	150$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	179	60.9%109 W · 70 L	+17.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Grizzlies	41c	148.28$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Trail Blazers	51c	147$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.03	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd227…0e69backed Trail Blazers	59c	135.59$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.59	58	69%40 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Trail Blazers	56c	131.45$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.84	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Grizzlies	42c	125.3$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.53	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Grizzlies	42c	120.39$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.57	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93cf…29d1backed Grizzlies	45c	110.55$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe1…6b57backed Trail Blazers	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.51per pick	25cpaid	+202.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies	46c	93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Grizzlies	42c	89.33$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.52	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Trail Blazers	55c	89.28$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.18	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers	63c	87.3$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.3	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Trail Blazers	47c	75.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Grizzlies	44c	74.82$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Grizzlies	42c	72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Trail Blazers	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Grizzlies	47c	65.87$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.96	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Grizzlies	50c	64.34$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.17	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Trail Blazers	63c	64.16$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.74	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc22…f48ebacked Trail Blazers	51c	61.81$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.29	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers	55c	60.29$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.13	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Trail Blazers	53c	56.53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.57	102	57.8%59 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers	57c	56$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.08	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Trail Blazers	58c	50.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Grizzlies	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Trail Blazers	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies	41c	49.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Trail Blazers	55c	47.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Grizzlies	49c	44.88$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Trail Blazers	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Grizzlies	45c	42.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Grizzlies	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db6…e1babacked Trail Blazers	34c	39.96$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.37	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Trail Blazers	62c	38.71$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.71	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Grizzlies	52c	38.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ea…c6f9backed Grizzlies	48c	36.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d3…1bbabacked Trail Blazers	53c	35.64$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dad…356bbacked Grizzlies	48c	33.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-48%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c14…c5fdbacked Trail Blazers	53c	33.26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.63	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b9…30b5backed Trail Blazers	53c	33.25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.63	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4962…8d15backed Grizzlies	48c	32.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…3468backed Trail Blazers	53c	32.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.33	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…041ebacked Trail Blazers	53c	32.51$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.28	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-46%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Trail Blazers	52c	32$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.36	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Trail Blazers	57c	31.9$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.69	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x614e…f00fbacked Grizzlies	48c	31.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb7…bd5dbacked Grizzlies	48c	31.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	63cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Grizzlies	50c	30.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Trail Blazers	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Grizzlies	41c	29.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)this page
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event