TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c10,560$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,428.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c10,241$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,507.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under52c10,025$5,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,212.6511252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c7,768$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under53c5,073$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.448555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c4,484$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…3dbcbacked Over48c4,208$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under51c2,346$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.3425248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over48c2,188$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.538750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c2,142$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over48c2,136$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.3741649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under56c1,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,436$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.942,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009843.9%43 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c866.65$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3324450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under58c710.34$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c569.22$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…370cbacked Under53c557.5$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c525$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.32,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over55c520$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under12c442.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7928616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c413.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.992,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c366.29$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.472,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c314.4$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.23,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Over50c254$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1273060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c250.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.831,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under8c237.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.571,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c226.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.732,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed0…c618backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11080744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10413543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Under52c189.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.474852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under53c149.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Under54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.26561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under54c106.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0133653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524540%18 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5635739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c96.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under52c92.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Over44c90.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.433330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Under52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c77.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c74.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c62.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c62.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over44c52.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1829351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over49c51.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under59c51.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1320762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2595…e362backed Over43c46.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.784949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d8…a90ebacked Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over68c44.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2140344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under53c43.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c43.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.271,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe477…e618backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2037665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c39.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x958e…ecbfbacked Over43c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.665448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Under52c34.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under57c30.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8521645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edc…55ecbacked Over48c29.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Under56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under47c23.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9813850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2749backed Under57c20.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x64be…ad47backed Under57c20.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.615046%23 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under56c19.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under58c18.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…e1f0backed Under57c17.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ee…96c5backed Under57c17.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.074153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.