TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64aa…7f42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$57.23
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$55
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$399.79
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+109%+$130.83
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+91.7%+$22.01
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$104.19
Spread: Heat (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$83.44
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Spread: Heat (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+73.1%+$117
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+68.4%+$27.35
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.8%+$34.33
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$179.59
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$757.04
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+123.2%+$1,042.55
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+74.9%+$179.65
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Marist Red Foxes vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Georgia Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Providence Friars: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+106.2%+$21.25
La Salle Explorers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Utah Utes vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Utah Utes vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.39
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+48%+$9.59
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.62
Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bradley Braves vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+105.2%+$28.39
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+145.3%+$101.72
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$30
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+97.8%+$123.24
First Blood in Game 2?backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
First Blood in Game 1?backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.09
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
First Blood in Game 2?backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+89.2%+$22.29
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$747.34
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+132.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$823.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.