Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd6d5a6e42ec0c298a91a01c9fd7e6dab057c3c26526699f099a7328160e6e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 14,987$7,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.1 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,070$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 51c | 4,496$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.98 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 51c | 1,656$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.66 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 51c | 1,350$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.62 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 623$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.73 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Under | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 150.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 78c | 124.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…55d0backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 108$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 51c | 52.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 143.5this page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.