Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd23409f1d07d7421a35a308b68781ce5f2a7695926f8d022f6b55b9cddfdf217

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: St. John's Red Stormof Connecticut Huskies, St. John's Red Storm
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,261 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	16,437$8,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000.88	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed St. John's Red Storm	51c	11,500$5,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,634.98	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked St. John's Red Storm	50c	9,086$4,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,543.24	302	49.3%149 W · 153 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked St. John's Red Storm	51c	6,047$3,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,984.22	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked St. John's Red Storm	53c	4,730$2,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,223.1	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	3,510$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,719.71	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Connecticut Huskies	50c	3,321$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.57	896	45.9%411 W · 485 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,122$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,002$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.17	898	50%449 W · 449 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed St. John's Red Storm	52c	932.35$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.53	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	923$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.73	635	51.5%327 W · 308 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed St. John's Red Storm	53c	849.06$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.06	237	54.9%130 W · 107 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	665.59$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.29	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked St. John's Red Storm	52c	558$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.29	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed St. John's Red Storm	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Connecticut Huskies	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.75	624	51.1%319 W · 305 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	244.89$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Connecticut Huskies	47c	233.35$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.59	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed St. John's Red Storm	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked St. John's Red Storm	53c	169$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.97	128	46.9%60 W · 68 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	156.25$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	121.37$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	112.62$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.64	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Connecticut Huskies	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed St. John's Red Storm	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1,162	55.2%641 W · 521 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Connecticut Huskies	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	48.1%115 W · 124 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked St. John's Red Storm	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af9…c3e8backed St. John's Red Storm	52c	96.35$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.35	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Connecticut Huskies	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed St. John's Red Storm	48c	96.15$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x025d…14fcbacked St. John's Red Storm	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	84.31$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. John's Red Storm	49c	63.24$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Connecticut Huskies	48c	56.25$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed St. John's Red Storm	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	682	54.3%370 W · 312 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed St. John's Red Storm	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	627	53%332 W · 295 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4a…4fb5backed St. John's Red Storm	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	74	59.5%44 W · 30 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm	50c	31.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.74	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	26.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	23.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)this page
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 143.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event