NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x378fcae8417e5160bf78de17f0ff5f1721d73a8ff55c08c787b653aa25164fb1

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Heat, Jazz
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $805,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $807,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $805,004 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Heat	49c	551,004$269,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269,792.38	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz	51c	200,000$102,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98,000	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Jazz	52c	125,000$64,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,600	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,500.04	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…6cf0backed Jazz	54c	38,537$20,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,726.79	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Heat	46c	30,000$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,800	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz	52c	29,000$15,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,920	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Jazz	54c	27,638$14,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,720.48	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	51c	27,500$14,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,475	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	47c	23,867$11,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,217.65	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz	51c	20,951$10,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,265.94	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz	52c	20,900$10,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,032	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Jazz	51c	20,900$10,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,241	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz	51c	20,015$10,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,807.39	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,400	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	46c	12,267$5,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,642.64	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Jazz	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	51c	9,907$5,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,808.76	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz	53c	9,000$4,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,230	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Jazz	52c	8,581$4,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,118.77	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz	53c	7,500$3,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,525	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz	53c	6,600$3,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,102	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	52c	6,251$3,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.48	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jazz	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	46c	3,938$1,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,816.91	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	46c	3,793$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.98	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	49c	3,081$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,509.69	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Jazz	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Jazz	53c	2,593$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,216.39	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat	46c	2,391$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Heat	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz	52c	1,721$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.62	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Heat	46c	1,600$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Heat	49c	1,536$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.6	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Heat	46c	1,521$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.57	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz	52c	1,419$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.11	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Heat	48c	1,407$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.23	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jazz	52c	1,037$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.95	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Heat	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+9.4wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Heat	51c	785.86$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.79	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	49c	702.25$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.92	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz	51c	584.81$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.26	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Jazz	54c	550.52$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.73	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Jazz	52c	505.05$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.42	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Jazz	53c	505.05$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.37	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	46c	455$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.3	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Jazz	50c	398$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1f…c6adbacked Jazz	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Heat	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	283	48.8%138 W · 145 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Jazz	52c	295.58$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.88	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz	52c	210.98$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.61	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Heat	49c	210$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Heat	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Heat	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Heat	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Jazz	52c	192.3$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.3	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz	52c	187.73$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.11	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Jazz	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jazz	52c	150.67$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.75	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz	53c	145$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.15	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Heat	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Heat	48c	106.26$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Heat	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Heat	45c	93.44$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	189	57.1%108 W · 81 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Jazz	49c	87.19$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.23	358	44.1%158 W · 200 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat	46c	79.17$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.35	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Jazz	52c	78.56$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.71	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Jazz	53c	75.39$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.43	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Jazz	52c	74$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.21	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Jazz	53c	64$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.08	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Jazz	51c	61$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.89	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Jazz	53c	60.37$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.37	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Heat	30c	58.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	390	47.7%186 W · 204 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Heat	46c	58.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Jazz	53c	57.49$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.02	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f4…48a4backed Heat	46c	51.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Heat	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	46c	50.93$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Jazz	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	100	69%69 W · 31 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Jazz	53c	48.19$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.65	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d38…c1f2backed Jazz	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Heat	45c	46.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz	53c	45.73$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Heat	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdda3…f5f5backed Heat	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Heat	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6e…a573backed Heat	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Jazz	52c	39.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	97	58.8%57 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Heat	48c	38.81$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Jazz	53c	38.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.09	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4a…4fb5backed Jazz	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Jazz	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	111	45.9%51 W · 60 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Jazz	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Jazz	52c	37.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.02	191	47.1%90 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7a…7a02backed Jazz	56c	35.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Jazz	54c	33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.29	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc80c…6093backed Jazz	52c	29.13$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Jazz	52c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	327	43.4%142 W · 185 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Jazz	51c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	448	44.2%198 W · 250 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-6.5)this page
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Isaiah Collier: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Jazz vs. HeatJazz won
Jazz vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Heat (-5.5)Jazz won
Spread: Heat (-7.5)Jazz won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Jazz won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event