NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x921dacd3abffd37c4664d928a826c15adb2bf21054dd60b77c27c372f8a06a6f

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Jazz, Heat
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,580,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,679,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,580,979 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Heat	55c	196,762$108,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,986.16	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz	30c	178,393$53,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124,467.87	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat	69c	168,176$116,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,041.55	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Heat	69c	111,997$77,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,418.42	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	41cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x023c…c195backed Heat	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Jazz	30c	87,973$26,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61,580.91	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz	31c	82,317$25,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,798.84	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz	31c	80,000$24,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,200	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…6cf0backed Jazz	31c	65,000$20,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,599.98	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	69c	60,043$41,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,429.71	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Jazz	32c	55,944$17,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,205.59	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Heat	70c	50,000$35,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,999.96	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Heat	74c	42,950$31,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,682.91	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	71c	42,353$29,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,923.98	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz	27c	40,112$10,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,466.01	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz	30c	37,024$11,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,951.25	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Jazz	30c	35,070$10,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,498.37	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	71c	33,312$23,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,686.65	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz	30c	33,300$9,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,310	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Heat	51c	32,499$16,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,651.65	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Heat	69c	30,000$20,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,800	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz	30c	30,000$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,999.97	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Jazz	30c	29,848$9,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,758.2	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	32c	29,318$9,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,810.03	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz	27c	29,238$7,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,241.6	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Heat	69c	26,592$18,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,412.18	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Jazz	30c	25,499$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,849.06	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Heat	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Jazz	30c	25,000$7,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,619.67	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Heat	69c	20,000$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,799.99	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Heat	70c	20,000$14,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,099.96	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Heat	73c	20,000$14,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,599.9	147	38.1%56 W · 91 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz	29c	19,900$5,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,093.5	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	38c	19,631$7,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,101.88	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	68c	18,911$12,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,914.72	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	59c	17,035$10,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,073.91	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	67c	16,948$11,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,390.91	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Jazz	26c	16,108$4,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,879.35	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Heat	51c	15,103$7,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,745.04	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Heat	71c	15,000$10,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,650	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Jazz	29c	14,594$4,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,403.96	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Jazz	31c	12,170$3,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,397.04	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Heat	68c	11,575$7,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,871	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Heat	63c	11,178$7,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,038.27	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Jazz	53c	10,942$5,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,161.34	136	52.9%72 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Jazz	24c	10,209$2,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,756.74	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Jazz	29c	10,103$2,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,173.45	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,499.96	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Heat	57c	9,905$5,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,606.77	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Heat	61c	9,442$5,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,714.75	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	57c	9,424$5,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,396.03	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	32c	9,387$3,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,383.16	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Jazz	24c	8,908$2,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,798.81	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Heat	64c	8,558$5,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,493.09	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz	30c	8,346$2,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,857.48	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz	31c	8,223$2,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,697.18	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Heat	75c	8,200$6,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,150	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Jazz	25c	8,200$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,149.82	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	71c	8,047$5,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,692.81	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	76c	8,040$6,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,114.29	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Jazz	53c	7,976$4,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,739.48	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat	41c	7,960$3,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,269.13	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Heat	76c	7,551$5,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,739.7	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Heat	69c	7,500$5,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,175	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8520…8e06backed Jazz	27c	7,468$2,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,425.98	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…60febacked Heat	73c	6,849$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed Heat	60c	6,149$3,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,670.81	120	50%60 W · 60 L	-13.1wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz	32c	6,022$1,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,074.08	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Heat	69c	5,637$3,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,883.31	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz	30c	5,633$1,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,943.1	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Heat	54c	5,597$3,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,037.71	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Heat	41c	5,565$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Jazz	28c	5,560$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,995.94	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Heat	75c	5,489$4,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,117	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5f2cbacked Heat	71c	5,240$3,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,720.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz	26c	5,144$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,829.15	386	49.5%191 W · 195 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Jazz	26c	5,057$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,742.38	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz	31c	5,000$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,450	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Jazz	21c	5,000$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,953.29	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Heat	71c	5,000$3,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,549.99	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Jazz	20c	4,843$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,884.99	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Jazz	26c	4,743$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,498.3	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Jazz	39c	4,718$1,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.84	155	44.5%69 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jazz	68c	4,704$3,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,497.94	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Heat	72c	4,691$3,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,383.16	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	26c	4,500$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,309.82	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Heat	74c	4,290$3,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,174.6	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Heat	62c	4,240$2,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,647.27	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz	30c	4,135$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,890.38	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed Heat	6c	4,110$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	8cpaid	+382.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz	27c	4,074$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,974.07	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Jazz	70c	4,070$2,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,209.4	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	25c	4,050$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,037.47	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Jazz	31c	4,045$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,791.05	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df5…b0ffbacked Jazz	29c	4,010$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,847.34	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Heat	74c	4,005$2,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,952.79	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Heat	69c	4,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Heat	69c	4,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jazz vs. Heatthis page
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Isaiah Collier: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Jazz vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Heat (-5.5)Jazz won
Spread: Heat (-6.5)Jazz won
Spread: Heat (-7.5)Jazz won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Jazz won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event