NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e75293dcb704b38522bcc15eea993f93206a9c6e47b0ad28e63305ea4a732d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Heat, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 47c | 8,788$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.27 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ec…8815backed Jazz | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Heat | 47c | 4,041$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 54c | 3,708$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Jazz | 51c | 3,605$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.74 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Jazz | 53c | 2,152$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…120cbacked Heat | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…a0c9backed Heat | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Jazz | 53c | 1,889$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heat | 46c | 1,372$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.19 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 48c | 1,330$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 53c | 1,310$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 53c | 1,255$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.85 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Heat | 50c | 1,089$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 42c | 957$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz | 53c | 811.53$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.42 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 50c | 725.58$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Jazz | 54c | 700.57$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.26 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Jazz | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Heat | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…3b15backed Heat | 46c | 629.61$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Jazz | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Jazz | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 45c | 483.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Heat | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat | 44c | 465.15$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 54c | 442.77$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Jazz | 51c | 440$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Heat | 47c | 420.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 16c | 355.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 48c | 312.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Jazz | 57c | 282.27$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 54c | 269.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 39c | 249.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Heat | 46c | 248.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Jazz | 58c | 242$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 41c | 225.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…c195backed Heat | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Jazz | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Heat | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Jazz | 60c | 146.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 40c | 146.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 49c | 118.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Heat | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Jazz | 51c | 108.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Heat | 53c | 104.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz | 53c | 101.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Jazz | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Jazz | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Heat | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Jazz | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Jazz | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Heat | 49c | 80.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Heat | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jazz | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Heat | 42c | 69.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Jazz | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz | 60c | 66.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Heat | 43c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Jazz | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 46c | 56.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Jazz | 56c | 53.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Jazz | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Heat | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Jazz | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Heat | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heat | 42c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Heat | 50c | 40.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 40c | 35.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Heat | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Heat | 42c | 35.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 46c | 34.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…9e1abacked Jazz | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Jazz | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Heat | 51c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Heat | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Heat | 50c | 29.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Heat | 48c | 25.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239e…ef98backed Jazz | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Jazz | 59c | 22.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Heat | 47c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…c920backed Jazz | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jazz | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Isaiah Collier: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. HeatJazz won
- Jazz vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.