La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fe0a0f9eb924312c6d477540a3ed7de3be0049604ac494978d7e58f114c2c35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 6,628$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 2,332$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.12 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.78 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,923$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.88 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 54c | 800$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.66 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 54c | 690.74$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.74 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 46c | 688.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 51c | 492.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.89 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 47c | 488.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 55c | 420.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…1267backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…6156backed Yes | 56c | 360.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +78%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 226.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 195.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Yes | 55c | 167.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 44c | 166.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 57c | 152.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 151.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 50c | 123.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 89.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 63c | 83.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 77.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 45c | 74.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 54c | 74.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…8fb7backed Yes | 55c | 55.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 49c | 48.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 28c | 47.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 43c | 44.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 46c | 32.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…4531backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 55c | 28.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked No | 47c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 48c | 22.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…cf4abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.