TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over54c240,754$131,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,712.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under46c71,248$32,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,417.8310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c40,440$18,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,602.41,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under45c37,585$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,00035442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c26,533$12,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,587.3590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c21,693$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,800.093,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c19,895$9,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.484,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.983946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c8,453$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.652,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c6,324$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.3415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under46c5,005$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.320449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c4,511$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.8869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under46c2,461$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.063342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1047353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10421957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under45c2,300$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0462343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90053246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over54c1,896$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.255964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c1,720$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.8811444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c1,200$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.0642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Under46c871.09$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.74126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c640$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.167241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18422746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under22c388$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e94…9467backed Over55c375.44$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.951361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over55c274.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.553565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Over53c264.68$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c238.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6116865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b7…52bebacked Over52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over55c190.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.912259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8218656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over55c181.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over51c167$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.313249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Under46c136.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over40c136.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9534050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over66c123.19$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c119$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9326550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c118.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over52c112.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.16344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454850%24 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1619053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.819153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over53c79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.135151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under46c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4911254.5%61 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under46c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4913453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c77.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.291,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over53c76.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0419461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2524052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over55c74.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5538748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under47c64.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8313648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c64.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8342158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3199…0a40backed Over55c62.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.16540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5e…a076backed Under49c61.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.827131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over61c57.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2512044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over55c56.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under46c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6612554.4%68 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under46c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6612654%68 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2819130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Under40c49.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0814157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0819152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0821151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0818551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4519544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.766350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Under48c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.419553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.419751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.