La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5a9894c7769009b361e86214fc901dbd8bd2d9fc1e1cf8e2dc0ecf6d595eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Real Sociedad de Fútbol, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Elche CF | 68c | 7,736$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,247.37 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 4,781$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.28 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Elche CF | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.24 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elche CF | 66c | 796.27$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.97 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 478.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.53 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 35c | 451.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 450$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.6 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 417.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 360$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 322.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 22c | 321.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.42 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Elche CF | 66c | 319.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 39c | 246.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Elche CF | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 147.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 117.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 42c | 113$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Elche CF | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Elche CF | 67c | 86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 35c | 63.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Elche CF | 66c | 62.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 40.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Elche CF | 69c | 33.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 47c | 23.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elche CF | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.