Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x762e3c5edb679930946ce21433df6c33a659105868915ab57bc672edf55d9e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 59,749$31,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,069.23 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 30,000$14,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,650.75 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 48c | 22,148$10,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,516.84 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 12,985$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,841.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…ed19backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 1,204$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.16 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 738$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 47c | 690$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.7 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 582.42$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 431$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 419.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 417.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 298.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 210$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 53c | 118.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 47c | 66.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 47c | 23.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 176.5this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn TigersAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 174.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.