Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadefcc285d6fc14d97278ddfe4753df1da0b70421318764c5bfb6d76aba5a910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 23,260$11,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,733.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 5,541$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.81 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 51c | 2,478$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.8 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 50c | 2,396$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.19 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Over | 50c | 881.16$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.58 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 583$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 425$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…aca6backed Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 55.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 37.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 175.5this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn TigersAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 174.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.