Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8eb4550be0f50b5a4c7892121e293d729aad64edafbecc82fbfd0d1af54d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Auburn Tigers, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Auburn Tigers | 54c | 4,100$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 3,671$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.26 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 2,960$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Auburn Tigers | 49c | 2,260$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.35 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Auburn Tigers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers | 49c | 313$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 268.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Auburn Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 123.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…14fcbacked Auburn Tigers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 62.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Auburn Tigers | 49c | 52.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 21.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn TigersAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 174.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 175.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.