TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Jazz, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,107,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,109,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,107,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Magic72c171,883$124,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,541.249350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Magic72c122,572$88,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,505.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Jazz28c103,136$28,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,878.19043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz30c86,599$25,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,557.3622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Magic69c66,932$46,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,813.731,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Magic71c60,000$42,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,399.981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Jazz29c57,069$16,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,55016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz27c50,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic73c47,581$34,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,865.0528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz27c46,784$12,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,730.671,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz28c45,748$12,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,809.471,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Magic71c37,484$26,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,870.3472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jazz28c37,000$10,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,36045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Jazz27c35,904$9,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,693.9530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz26c34,990$9,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,018.2727424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic51c29,627$15,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,597.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz27c29,109$7,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,910.4651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz52c26,184$13,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,653.0483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz26c24,102$6,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24150838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Jazz28c20,536$5,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,738.4338046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Jazz27c20,030$5,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.14235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Magic73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz26c19,000$4,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.062,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic72c17,914$12,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Jazz29c17,601$5,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,104.2913142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic72c17,547$12,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,909.82,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz28c17,229$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.752,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz28c16,994$4,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz28c16,627$4,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655.661,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Jazz28c16,440$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,596.4338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz30c16,239$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.7236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic52c15,508$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,432.8548956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Jazz29c15,425$4,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,473.229655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Magic73c15,000$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,05021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Jazz28c14,903$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,189.6619751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Magic48c14,015$6,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,334.4211252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Magic73c12,266$8,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.7628554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic73c12,102$8,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Magic73c12,000$8,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz41c11,463$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.882,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz28c11,088$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Magic52c11,000$5,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,278.311,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Magic72c10,950$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0665655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Jazz27c10,441$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz55c10,315$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Magic50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz27c9,357$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.332,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Jazz41c8,807$3,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.775837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz52c8,767$4,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,587.051,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Magic65c8,705$5,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.181,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic65c7,672$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.6422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Jazz28c7,349$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.015728.1%16 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz27c7,100$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9061,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Magic33c7,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.997638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz28c6,983$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93315435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Magic72c6,930$5,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.519250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz28c6,841$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.031,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Jazz58c6,578$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8005850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Magic72c6,250$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7506357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Jazz29c6,207$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Magic73c6,158$4,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.5320849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jazz60c6,117$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.481,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Jazz28c6,108$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.3638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic72c6,054$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.712,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Jazz28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Jazz34c5,820$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Magic41c5,500$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.981,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz24c5,330$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.9446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic49c5,177$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Magic73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Jazz27c4,852$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31017356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked Magic73c4,849$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51b…fb56backed Magic75c4,800$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973b…01c0backed Jazz25c4,800$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz1c4,731$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.311,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Jazz27c4,700$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2699758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Magic73c4,700$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26910035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Magic73c4,668$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.4954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jazz36c4,664$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.7589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Magic49c4,476$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.6719388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Magic74c4,320$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.8239958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Magic70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Magic71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic75c4,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic71c3,910$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.5972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf958…5a02backed Magic61c3,810$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.492665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Jazz49c3,580$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.7811747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz28c3,491$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.273,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz44c3,461$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Magic73c3,425$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.6656453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…01bdbacked Magic73c3,400$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9181353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Magic72c3,313$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.58063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz27c3,178$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.266744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Magic72c3,139$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.953855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz27c3,126$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Jazz20c3,112$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.1613543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Magic43c3,027$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.4940041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.