TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c33,195$16,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,589.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under48c28,856$13,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,798.729350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under52c15,451$8,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,097.9516752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c5,582$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under52c5,192$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.7838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c4,466$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.934,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.671,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over50c3,746$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.3531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over47c3,700$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96135744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under53c3,585$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9005154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c3,302$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over52c3,269$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.9420948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c3,129$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c2,986$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over56c2,645$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.644654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c2,305$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over48c2,137$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.675547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c1,799$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under13c1,636$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,627$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c1,424$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.72,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c1,406$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c957.45$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.452,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c874.36$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under50c860$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.351,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c827$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under52c699.89$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9422845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c660$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.331,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c620.04$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over56c535.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9810156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over51c519.61$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6113464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under64c435.53$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.598344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e6…8b14backed Over59c424.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over49c384.09$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.063,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under53c366$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9885147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over47c361.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.711748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c318.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.432,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over58c280.87$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.741,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over47c280.38$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.62560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948d…d6a8backed Over47c216.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58c…3a5cbacked Over47c205.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.762544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c173.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over50c170.94$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over48c163.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under51c159.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9840849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over52c152$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.961,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8130840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under54c143.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5712541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Under59c141.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.24839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f37…8fa2backed Under54c136.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c125.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over52c107.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6913750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under44c105.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over60c105.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under57c100.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5512752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over59c98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under62c97.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8211755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8427251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over70c91.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.421,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under17c87.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under29c86.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.438845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under19c70.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.324330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Over52c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.530146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c64.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.961,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under52c63.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under53c63.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.443946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over60c61.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Over62c61.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.682263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Over47c51.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.377356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c50.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.663,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2943246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over47c47.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over58c46.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Under45c45.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1da6…53edbacked Under53c43.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Over46c43.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1627548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under49c42.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.838653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under53c41.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.237846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Under53c41.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.196346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over49c41.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0269049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8234556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c39.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.122,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed Under66c39.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.135437%20 W · 34 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over51c38.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under51c38.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.849753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over56c35.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…223dbacked Under54c34.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b7…e0e4backed Under61c34.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.