NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840328daa26270f689099b9e2b3f373ad4f24f5b9e60ae7dc332a28063efc15c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 33,195$16,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,589.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 48c | 28,856$13,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,798.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 15,451$8,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,097.95 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 5,582$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.78 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 4,466$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 50c | 3,746$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.35 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 47c | 3,700$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 53c | 3,585$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 3,302$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 52c | 3,269$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.94 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 3,129$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 2,986$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 56c | 2,645$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.64 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 2,305$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 48c | 2,137$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.67 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 1,799$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 13c | 1,636$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,627$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 1,424$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.7 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,406$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 874.36$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 50c | 860$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.35 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 53c | 827$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.31 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 52c | 699.89$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.94 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 660$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 620.04$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 56c | 535.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 51c | 519.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 64c | 435.53$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.59 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Over | 59c | 424.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 384.09$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 53c | 366$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 318.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 280.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 47c | 280.38$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 47c | 216.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked Over | 47c | 205.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 46c | 173.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 50c | 170.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over | 48c | 163.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 51c | 159.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 152$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 54c | 143.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Under | 59c | 141.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…8fa2backed Under | 54c | 136.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 125.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 44c | 105.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 60c | 105.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 57c | 100.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 59c | 98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 62c | 97.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 70c | 91.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 17c | 87.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 29c | 86.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 19c | 70.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 52c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 64.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 52c | 63.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Under | 53c | 63.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 60c | 61.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Over | 62c | 61.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Over | 47c | 51.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 50.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 47.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 58c | 46.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Under | 45c | 45.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 46c | 43.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 49c | 42.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 53c | 41.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Under | 53c | 41.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 39.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3296backed Under | 66c | 39.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 51c | 38.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 51c | 38.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…223dbacked Under | 54c | 34.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…e0e4backed Under | 61c | 34.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. MagicMagic won
- Jazz vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Jazz won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.