NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac0574c2fb18a332a48b2589f82cdea1a8085b28e7da736b5081f0868ef131b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Magic, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 44c | 51,732$22,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,915.06 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 55c | 28,658$15,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,773.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 55c | 15,227$8,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,786.55 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Magic | 45c | 8,559$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.28 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz | 58c | 4,075$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.65 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 48c | 3,313$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 56c | 3,047$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.55 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Jazz | 58c | 2,823$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.87 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 48c | 2,689$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.7 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 38c | 2,423$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 55c | 2,223$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jazz | 53c | 1,911$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 55c | 1,895$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 54c | 1,656$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Jazz | 53c | 1,164$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.21 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz | 60c | 1,083$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.31 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Jazz | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 42c | 955$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Jazz | 52c | 952.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.83 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Jazz | 60c | 834.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.6 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Jazz | 56c | 747.7$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 64c | 598.01$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Magic | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 55c | 474.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Jazz | 52c | 463.78$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.61 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Jazz | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Jazz | 60c | 226.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Magic | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Magic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 37c | 206.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jazz | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz | 68c | 170.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Jazz | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jazz | 59c | 149.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic | 41c | 129.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…0da7backed Jazz | 80c | 125.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Jazz | 63c | 118.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Magic | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Magic | 46c | 113.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Jazz | 52c | 101.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jazz | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Magic | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Jazz | 56c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Jazz | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 46c | 87.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Jazz | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Magic | 45c | 79.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Jazz | 56c | 78.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Magic | 45c | 76.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Jazz | 58c | 76.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jazz | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Jazz | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Jazz | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Magic | 34c | 67.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Jazz | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Jazz | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Magic | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Magic | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Jazz | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Magic | 46c | 46.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Jazz | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Jazz | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Jazz | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Jazz | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Jazz | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Jazz | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Jazz | 47c | 33.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Jazz | 60c | 31.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jazz | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Magic | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 47c | 28.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…f753backed Jazz | 78c | 27.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Magic | 42c | 25.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Jazz | 52c | 24.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Jazz | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked Jazz | 59c | 22.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…3692backed Magic | 49c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Jazz | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Jazz | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Jazz | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Jazz | 57c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…1ca6backed Jazz | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. MagicMagic won
- Jazz vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Jazz won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.