NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3349f644a6ae3897199211f39e87f4323e32b93aaf2d3719d661c48b68fe95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Magic, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 52c | 115,193$59,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,348.38 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Jazz | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Magic | 50c | 88,239$44,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,119.38 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 50c | 85,884$43,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,057.95 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Jazz | 50c | 75,000$37,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,659.21 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 49c | 65,151$32,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,187.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Magic | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 51c | 26,896$13,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,142.01 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 50c | 25,659$12,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,903.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz | 48c | 22,444$10,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,671.01 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Magic | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jazz | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz | 50c | 18,412$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,261.55 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Magic | 51c | 17,996$9,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,177.84 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Jazz | 49c | 17,063$8,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,632.13 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 50c | 16,918$8,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,458.81 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Jazz | 49c | 16,273$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,255.28 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 49c | 16,229$8,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,217.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Jazz | 51c | 15,414$7,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,541.63 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 50c | 14,993$7,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,540.75 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Jazz | 50c | 13,522$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,761 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…aca6backed Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Jazz | 50c | 8,450$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 50c | 8,091$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…54dabacked Magic | 51c | 7,771$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Jazz | 51c | 7,745$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.16 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Jazz | 50c | 7,736$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 49c | 7,678$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 51c | 7,503$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.42 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Jazz | 51c | 6,875$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.25 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Jazz | 50c | 6,842$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 50c | 5,736$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.38 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…fba9backed Jazz | 49c | 5,663$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Jazz | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Jazz | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.12 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Jazz | 49c | 5,299$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.27 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jazz | 50c | 5,000$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.62 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,482$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.85 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Jazz | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Jazz | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.29 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 50c | 3,770$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Jazz | 48c | 3,517$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.67 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…b945backed Jazz | 48c | 3,435$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jazz | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Jazz | 50c | 2,884$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Jazz | 50c | 2,817$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.45 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Jazz | 50c | 2,575$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.55 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Jazz | 48c | 2,499$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.98 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1f43backed Jazz | 50c | 2,412$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 51c | 2,003$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz | 50c | 1,610$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 50c | 1,555$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 1,482$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Jazz | 49c | 1,420$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.41 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Jazz | 56c | 1,255$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.63 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Magic | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Jazz | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Magic | 52c | 968.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 50c | 880.76$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Jazz | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…5be8backed Magic | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Jazz | 50c | 746$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Jazz | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Jazz | 49c | 583.1$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Magic | 49c | 563.82$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.27 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Magic | 49c | 552.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Magic | 73c | 547.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Magic | 53c | 531.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Jazz | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Jazz | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Jazz | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Jazz | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Jazz | 48c | 386$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Jazz | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Jazz | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 49c | 267.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Jazz | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 55c | 259.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 51c | 242.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jazz | 50c | 230.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jazz | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…2e46backed Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Magic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Jazz | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 49c | 194.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Magic | 48c | 185.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. MagicMagic won
- Jazz vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Jazz won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.