NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe279293918261d34249566978151db76ebc3f15ffaf5b8a619c87f523bead60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Magic, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 47c | 487,072$230,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,008.1 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz | 53c | 199,996$105,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,998.22 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jazz | 53c | 149,281$79,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,162.21 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 47c | 90,000$42,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,299.95 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Magic | 47c | 77,288$36,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz | 53c | 54,601$28,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,807.16 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jazz | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 53c | 49,635$26,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,455.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Jazz | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 52c | 24,695$12,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,777.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Magic | 48c | 24,151$11,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,593.01 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz | 53c | 22,958$12,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,786.91 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Jazz | 54c | 14,352$7,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,668.41 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Jazz | 53c | 14,270$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,669.74 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 47c | 12,572$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 45c | 8,462$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.04 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Jazz | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 47c | 7,929$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.73 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…8e06backed Jazz | 53c | 7,906$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jazz | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Jazz | 52c | 6,666$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.68 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 52c | 4,738$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.39 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 54c | 4,668$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Jazz | 54c | 4,036$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.21 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jazz | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Jazz | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Magic | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.98 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jazz | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Jazz | 52c | 2,615$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.08 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 47c | 2,392$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Jazz | 54c | 2,291$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.81 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 52c | 2,107$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 53c | 2,009$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Magic | 46c | 1,976$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Jazz | 54c | 1,631$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.48 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 53c | 1,136$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 52c | 1,102$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Magic | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 47c | 1,052$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Jazz | 55c | 1,030$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Jazz | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Magic | 49c | 914.93$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz | 52c | 793.17$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Jazz | 55c | 749.61$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Jazz | 56c | 724.79$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.79 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Jazz | 54c | 724.69$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.36 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Jazz | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Jazz | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Jazz | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Jazz | 54c | 462.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Jazz | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Magic | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic | 49c | 387.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 49c | 353.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Magic | 47c | 324.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jazz | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Jazz | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Jazz | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 44c | 268.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jazz | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Jazz | 52c | 249$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Jazz | 52c | 212.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Jazz | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Magic | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Jazz | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Magic | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Jazz | 53c | 196$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Magic | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…5142backed Jazz | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz | 55c | 186.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…d2b9backed Magic | 48c | 183.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Jazz | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Jazz | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Jazz | 47c | 130.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jazz | 54c | 128.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 48c | 116.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Magic | 46c | 114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Magic | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Jazz | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Jazz | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Jazz | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Jazz | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Magic | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Jazz | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Jazz | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Jazz | 53c | 90.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed Magic | 47c | 84.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Magic | 48c | 77.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Magic | 46c | 77.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Jazz | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Jazz | 55c | 73.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Jazz | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Magic | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. MagicMagic won
- Jazz vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Jazz won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.